Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions, NHL Free Pick 2/20/2020

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Thursday, February 20, 2020

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: ATTP/TSN4

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (-130) Maple Leafs (+118)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (31-22-8, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (37-15-6, 1st in the Metropolitan Division) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, February 20, 2020. The Maple Leafs open this contest at +118 while the Penguins are coming in at -130. The O/U is set at 6. The Penguins are covering 61.8% of the time, having gone 34-21 SU. Toronto covers 50.0% of the time, going 30-30 straight up.

The Pittsburgh Penguins head into this game holding a record of 37 wins and 15 losses, which is good for 1st in the Metropolitan Division. So far this year, they have scored a total of 193 goals which has them ranked at 6th in the Eastern Conference and 7th in the league. Their goal differential is +39, which is good for 4th in the league. The Penguins currently have a total of 80 points, which has them ranked at 3rd in the league and 3rd in the East. When looking at shots on goal, they currently have a total of 1,848 which has them ranked at 10th in the conference and 18th in the league. As a group, Pittsburgh has racked up a total of 1,534 hits which means they have an average of 26.4 per game. They currently have a total of 652 blocks for this season. The man in net for Pittsburgh is Tristan Jarry from Surrey, British Columbia. He is 24 years old and has played a total of 1,688 mins minding the net for the season. Jarry is giving up 2.13 goals against average which has him sitting 2nd in the East and 2nd among goalies in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he's surrendered 60 goals. He holds a save percentage of .931 which has him sitting 3rd in the East.

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The Pittsburgh Penguins went home feeling good about their game by earning a 5 - 2 win against the Toronto Maple Leafs their last time out. The Penguins had a solid offensive output and it showed in the win. For this game, they earned a goal on 5 of the 24 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 3 power play opportunities and netted 3 goals out of those chances. Pittsburgh earned a total of 8 penalty mins while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Penguins sat at 33 and the Corsi against was 46 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 41.8%. Their Fenwick was 28 while the Fenwick against was 38, which means they earned a Fenwick percentage of 42.4%. They took 22 face-off wins at even strength and lost 27 of the face-offs. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 36.7% and they had a PDO of 102.6 for this matchup. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Toronto Maple Leafs tallied 36 shots. They finished with a total of 6 penalty mins and they earned a total of 4 power play chances.

The Maple Leafs will be the team across the ice and for the season they sit with 31 victories and 22 losses. Regarding goal differential, they are sitting 7th in the Eastern Conference and 9th in the NHL with +12. They have a total of 212 goals for the year which has them sitting at 2nd in the East. Toronto has a save % as a team of .897 which has them sitting 24th in the NHL, meaning scoring chances could be plentiful if they are aggressive. They are shooting 10.4% which is good for 5th in the conference. In net for Toronto is Frederik Andersen who is having a rough year by allowing 2.97 goals against average and that has him 22nd in the Eastern Conference and 45th among goalies in the NHL. In the 2,582 minutes he's been on the ice, he's given up 128 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .906, which has him placed 22nd in the Eastern Conference and 43rd among goalies in the NHL.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs faced the Pittsburgh Penguins in a game where the Maple Leafs took a loss by a final score of 5 - 2. In their game, Toronto had a 58.2% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 46 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 33. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 57.6% by notching a Fenwick of 38 and the Penguins finishing with a 28 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Toronto played and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their PDO at even strength was 97.4 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 65.5%. The Maple Leafs notched 2 goals out of the 36 shots on goal they attempted. They had 4 power play opportunities in this outing but weren't able to notch a goal. As for the opposition, the Penguins had 3 power play chances and were able to tally 3 goals. Toronto gave way to 24 shots on goal and the Penguins had a total of 8 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (+118)

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