Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions, Free NHL Pick 2/15/2020

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, February 15, 2020

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: NSPA/SunS

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+149) Lightning (-165)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers (32-19-7, 5th in the Metropolitan Division) are headed to Amalie Arena on Saturday where they'll take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (38-15-5, 2nd in the Atlantic Division). The moneyline on this matchup has the Flyers coming in at +149 and the Lightning are at -165. The over/under has been set at 6. The Flyers are covering 50.9% of the time, having gone 27-26 SU. Tampa Bay is covering 64.3% of the time, going 36-20 straight up.

The Philadelphia Flyers come into the game with a record of 32 wins and 19 losses, ranking them 5th in the Metropolitan Division. So far this year, they have racked up a total of 185 goals which has them sitting at 6th in the East and 8th in the league. Their goal differential is +18, ranking them 8th in the league. The Flyers have earned a total of 71 pts, which has them sitting at 8th in the league and 6th in the Eastern Conference. Regarding shots at the opposition, they have earned a total of 1,841 which has them sitting at 7th in the East and 13th in the league. As a group, Philadelphia currently has a total of 1,162 hits which means they are averaging 20 per contest. They have earned a total of 582 blocks for this year. The man in the crease for Philadelphia is Carter Hart from Lulea, Sweden. He is 21 years old and has racked up 1,822 mins protecting the goal for the year. Hart is surrendering 2.54 goals per contest which has him ranking 9th in the East and 14th among goaltenders in the NHL. So far this season, he's allowed 77 goals. He has a save percentage of .908 which has him ranking 18th in the East.

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The Philadelphia Flyers were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 6 - 2 win against the Florida Panthers in their previous contest. The Flyers had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in this win. For this game, they netted 6 out of the 28 shots they looked to score on. They also had 3 power play chances and netted 1 goal out of those opportunities. Philadelphia ended up with 4 penalty minutes in their game. The Corsi for the Flyers was 36 and the Corsi against was 42 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 46.2%. Their Fenwick was 29 while the Fenwick against was 30, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 49.2%. They won 33 face-off wins at even strength and lost 22 attempts to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 42.9% and they had a PDO at even strength of 113.1 for this game. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Florida Panthers racked up 28 shots. They had a total of 8 minutes in the box and they had 1 power play attempt.

The Lightning are the team looking to add points to their total and for the campaign they have 38 wins and 15 defeats. In discussing goal differential, they are sitting 2nd in the East and 2nd in the NHL with +51. They currently have a total of 204 goals for this season which puts them at 1st in the Eastern Conference. Tampa Bay has a team save percentage of .915 which currently has them sitting 5th in the NHL, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a shooting percentage of 11.2% which is good for 1st in the conference. In net for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy who is having a marginal campaign by surrendering 2.41 goals against average and that places him 7th in the Eastern Conference and 11th among goaltenders in the NHL. In the 2,588 minutes he has been on the ice this year, he's given up 104 goals. His save % is .921, which ranks him 5th in the Eastern Conference and 11th among goaltenders in the NHL.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning opposed the Edmonton Oilers in an outing where the Lightning ended up with the win by a final of 3 - 1. For this game, Tampa Bay had a 55.2% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 53 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 43. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 54.4% by notching a Fenwick of 43 and the Oilers earning a 36 Fenwick. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Tampa Bay played and we'd say they played an average game. They had a PDO of 102.1 and their oZS percentage was 48.7%. The Lightning notched 3 goals of the 37 shots on goal they attempted. They had 1 power play attempt in this one but weren't able to score a goal. Concerning their opponent, the Oilers had 2 power play chances but weren't able to put the puck in the net. Tampa Bay gave up 30 shots on goal and the Oilers had a total of 0 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-165)

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