Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders Prediction, 9/3/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders

Date: Thursday, September 3, 2020

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (-103) Islanders (-119)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Scotiabank Arena is the site where Semyon Varlamov and the New York Islanders will take on the Philadelphia Flyers on Thursday in Game 6 of their series. New York leads the series 3-2. The Flyers open this game at -103 while the Islanders are coming in at -119. The over/under has been set at 5.5. The Flyers are covering 56.3% of the time, having gone 36-28 SU. New York is covering 49.2% of the time, going 32-33 straight up.

The Flyers were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4 - 3 win against the Islanders in Game 5. The Flyers had a good offensive performance and it was apparent in this win. For the outing, they netted 4 of the 32 shots they looked to score on. In addition, they had 2 power play opportunities but didn't get a goal. Philadelphia ended up with a total of 8 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Flyers sat at 72 and the Corsi against was 51 which tells us they had a Corsi percentage of 58.5%. Their Fenwick sat at 47 while the Fenwick against sat at 42, which gave them a Fenwick percentage of 52.8%. They earned 32 face-off wins and lost 22 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 44.9% and they had a PDO of 106.2 in this game. When it comes to their opponent, the New York Islanders put up 32 shots. They ended the game with 4 penalty minutes and they tallied 4 power play opportunities.

Protecting the net for Philadelphia is Carter Hart from Lulea, Sweden. He is 21 years old and has played 2,356 mins in goal this season. Hart is conceding 2.42 goals per game which places him at 5th among East goalies and 9th in the NHL among goaltenders. So far this season, he's given up 95 goals. He holds a save % of .914 which places him at 10th among East goalies. So far this year, they have scored a total of 227 goals which ranks them 7th in the East and 8th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +36, putting them at 4th in the NHL. The Flyers currently have a total of 89 pts, which ranks them 6th in the NHL and 4th in the conference. When it comes to shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 2,166 which ranks them 12th in the Eastern Conference and 21st in the NHL. As a unit, Philadelphia has obtained a total of 1,412 hits which has them averaging 20.5 per game. They currently have a total of 727 blocks for the season.

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In Game 5 New York went home with a 41.5% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by having a Corsi of 51 while they conceded a Corsi of 72. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 47.2% by earning a Fenwick of 42 and the Flyers earning a 47 Fenwick. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that New York had and it shows us they played like an average team. Their PDO was 93.8 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 55.1%. The Islanders converted 3 goals of the 32 shots on goal they attempted. They had 4 power play opportunities in this game and scored 1 out of those tries. In discussing their opponent, the Flyers had 2 power play attempts but weren't able to put the puck in the net. New York allowed 32 shots on goal and the Flyers ended up with a total of 8 minutes in the box.

In net for New York is Semyon Varlamov who is having an average campaign by giving up 2.62 goals against average and that has him 11th among East goalies and 18th in the NHL among goalies. In the 2,517 minutes he has been on the ice, he's allowed 110 goals. His save % is .914, which has him sitting 12th among East goalies and 26th in the NHL among goalies. When discussing goal differential, they rank 10th in the Eastern Conference and 19th in the NHL with -1. They have a total of 189 goals for the season which has them ranked at 13th in the conference. New York has a team save % of .911 which currently has them sitting 8th in the NHL, meaning they are a tough team to score against. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.4% which puts them at 11th in the Eastern Conference.

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Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-103)

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