Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions, NHL Free Pick 3/3/2020

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2020

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: TSN5/ATTP/RDS2

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+256) Penguins (-290)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

PPG Paints Arena is the site where Tristan Jarry and the Pittsburgh Penguins (37-21-6, 3rd in the Metropolitan Division) will play the Ottawa Senators (23-31-12, 7th in the Atlantic Division) on Tuesday. The line on this contest has the Senators coming in at +256 and the Penguins are at -290. The O/U is set at 6.5. The Senators cover 33.9% of the time, having gone 22-43 SU. The Penguins cover 55.7% of the time, going 34-27 straight up.

The Ottawa Senators head into this game holding a record of 23 wins and 31 losses, which is good for 7th in the Atlantic Division. So far this year, they have racked up a total of 177 goals which ranks them 13th in the conference and 24th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -42, which is good for 30th in the NHL. The Senators have earned a total of 58 points, which ranks them 29th in the NHL and 15th in the conference. In terms of shots on goal, they have earned a total of 2,013 which ranks them 12th in the East and 22nd in the NHL. As a unit, Ottawa has earned a total of 1,755 hits which means they are averaging 26.6 per contest. They have earned a total of 859 blocks for the year. The man looking after the net for Ottawa is Marcus Hogberg from Orebro, Sweden. He is 25 years old and has played 1,285 minutes defending the net for the season. Hogberg is conceding 3.04 goals per game which has him sitting 24th among East goalies and 51st in the NHL. During this season, he's given up 65 goals. His save percentage is .909 which has him sitting 18th among East goalies.

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The Ottawa Senators went home feeling good about their game by earning a 4 - 3 victory against the Detroit Red Wings their last time out. The Senators had a solid offensive outing in the victory. For this outing, they netted 4 of the 39 shots they tried. They also had 5 power play chances and were able to score 1 goal out of those tries. Ottawa earned a total of 4 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Senators was 63 and the Corsi against was 50 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 55.8%. Their Fenwick was 44 and the Fenwick against was 33, which earned them a Fenwick percentage of 57.1%. They won 28 face-off wins at even strength and lost 20 of the face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 50.0% and they had a PDO of 97.1 for this one. Concerning opponent stats, the Detroit Red Wings racked up 28 shots. They ended the game with 10 penalty mins and they earned a total of 2 power play chances.

The Penguins are the team looking to add points to their total and for the year they sit with 37 wins and 21 losses. With regard to goal differential, they are currently sitting 5th in the conference and 7th in the league with +23. They currently have a total of 201 goals for this season which puts them at 9th in the East. Pittsburgh has a team save % of .907 which has them 11th in the league, meaning there should be some opportunities to score. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.8% which is good for 9th in the Eastern Conference. In goal for Pittsburgh is Tristan Jarry who is having a marginal year by surrendering 2.31 goals per game and that has him 3rd among East goaltenders and 6th among goaltenders in the NHL. In the 1,866 mins he's played, he has given up 72 goals. He holds a save percentage of .924, which has him ranking 4th among East goaltenders and 7th among goaltenders in the NHL.

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The Pittsburgh Penguins faced the San Jose Sharks in a game where the Penguins took a loss by a score of 5 - 0. In this matchup, Pittsburgh wound up with a 49.1% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 54 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 56. They had a Fenwick percentage of 46.8% by notching a Fenwick of 37 and the Sharks having earned a 42 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Pittsburgh had and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their PDO at even strength was 83.3 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 61.5%. The Penguins netted 0 goals of the 30 shots on goal they pursued. They had 4 power play chances in this game but weren't able to notch a goal. On the other side of the ice, the Sharks had 2 power play chances but were not able to score a goal. Pittsburgh allowed 32 shots on goal and the Sharks had 10 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-290)

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