New York Rangers vs Dallas Stars Predictions, Free NHL Pick 3/10/2020

Tuesday, March 10, 2020

American Airlines Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

American Airlines Center is the venue where Ben Bishop and the Dallas Stars (37-23-8, 3rd in the Central Division) will play the New York Rangers (36-28-4, 7th in the Metropolitan Division) on Tuesday. The Rangers open this contest at +137 while the Stars are priced at -152. The over/under is set at 5.5. The Rangers are covering 52.2% of the time, having gone 35-32 SU. The Stars are covering 53.0% of the time, going 35-31 straight up.

The New York Rangers will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 6 - 4 defeat to the New Jersey Devils in their last game. The Rangers had a solid offensive output in this defeat. In this outing, they netted 4 of the 35 shots they put on goal. Furthermore, they had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to score. New York had 2 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Rangers was 57 and the Corsi against at even strength was 55 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 50.9%. Their Fenwick sat at 42 and the Fenwick against at even strength was 34, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 55.3%. They took 26 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 21 of the face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 66.7% and they had a PDO at even strength of 94.0 for this matchup. When it comes to their opponent, the New Jersey Devils tallied a total of 29 shots. They finished with 6 minutes in the box and they had 1 power play attempt.

Useful Team Statistics

The Rangers have 76 total points this season, which ranks them 18th in the NHL. They are 6th in the league in goals scored with 227 while they've given up 215 goals, ranking them 10th overall. They have had 221 power play opportunities and have scored 52 goals on those chances for a percentage of 24%. That is 6th in the NHL. The Rangers have allowed 222 power play opportunities and have given up 49 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 78%, putting them 21st in the league when short-handed. They average 31 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.73% for the season. They allow 34 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 11th in the league in stopping the puck.

The Dallas Stars squared up with the Nashville Predators in an outing where the Stars took the loss by a tally of 1 - 0. For this game, Dallas earned a 59.8% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 73 while the opposition earned a Corsi of 49. Their Fenwick rate was 55.3% by notching a Fenwick of 47 and the Predators having earned a 38 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Dallas had and we'd say it was a below average outing in all. They had a PDO at even strength of 100.0 and they had an oZS percentage of 58.1%. The Stars converted 0 goals of the 37 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 power play opportunities in this game but didn't score a goal. In discussing their opponent, the Predators had 2 power play opportunities and used that advantage to score 1 goal. Dallas gave way to 23 shots on goal and the Predators earned 8 penalty minutes.

Useful Team Statistics

The Stars are 9th in the NHL with a total of 82 points this year. They have 41 power play goals on 196 opportunities for a percentage of 21%. That ranks them 14th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 215 power play opportunities and have given up 44 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%. That is 18th in the NHL. As a team, the Stars are 28th in the league with 176 goals scored while they've given up 170 goals, which is 30th overall. They average 31 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 8.46%. As a team they give up 32 shots per game and have a save percentage of 92%. That is 1st in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

New York is 29th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 46.6%, as they've attempted 3,038 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,482 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 47.3% as they have 2,346 attempts while they have given up 2,613 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 28th in the league. The Rangers start possessions in the offensive zone 50.1% of the time, which is 14th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.9% for the season. That is 17th overall in the NHL. They have 1,385 face-off wins compared to 1,607 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 46.3%. That ranks them 30th in the league. On defense New York has 1,388 hits and they have blocked 869 shots from the opposition, putting them 7th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Stars are 21st in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 49.2% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 50.8% for the season, which is 11th in the NHL. They have 1,662 face-off wins compared to 1,532 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52%. That is 5th in the league. On defense Dallas has 1,427 hits and they have blocked 848 shots from the opposition, which is 9th in the league. Dallas is 19th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.4% as they've attempted 3,183 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,261 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 49.3% ranks 19th as they have 2,344 attempts while they have given up 2,413 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Rangers/Stars NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take New York

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