New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 9/7/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, September 7, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (+130) Lightning (-150)

Total/Over-Under: 5

Rogers Place is the site where Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning will take on the New York Islanders on Monday in Game 1 of their series. The Lightning open this game at -150 while the Islanders are coming in at +130. The O/U is set at 5. The Islanders are covering 49.2% of the time, having gone 32-33 SU. Tampa Bay covers 60.3% of the time, going 41-27 straight up.

The Islanders advanced by earning a 4 - 0 win against the Flyers in Game 7 of their series. The Islanders had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in the victory. For the game, they scored on 4 out of the 26 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 4 power play opportunities but didn't net one. New York racked up a total of 9 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Islanders sat at 47 and the Corsi against was 42 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 52.8%. Their Fenwick sat at 33 and the Fenwick against was 23, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 58.9%. They earned 14 face-off wins at even strength and lost 26 of all total face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 60.9% and they had a PDO of 118.2 for this one. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Philadelphia Flyers earned a total of 16 shots. They had 13 minutes in the box and they earned 2 power play opportunities.

The man between the pipes for New York is Semyon Varlamov from Kuybyshev, USSR. He is 31 years old and has played a total of 2,517 mins defending the goal for the season. Varlamov is conceding 2.62 goals per contest which puts him at 11th among East goaltenders and 18th in the NHL among goalies. During this season, he's allowed 110 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .914 which puts him at 12th among East goaltenders. During the season thus far, they have earned a total of 189 goals which is good for 13th in the Eastern Conference and 24th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -1, which puts them at 19th in the NHL. The Islanders have compiled a total of 80 points, which is good for 14th in the NHL and 9th in the East. When it comes to shots on goal, they have compiled a total of 2,016 which is good for 15th in the East and 30th in the NHL. As a group, New York has obtained a total of 1,839 hits which means they are averaging 27 per game. They have compiled a total of 980 blocks for the season.

The Lightning closed out their series against the Bruins by a score of 3 - 2. Tampa Bay had a 48.6% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 84 while they conceded a Corsi of 89. Their Fenwick rate came in at 48.1% by notching a Fenwick of 52 and the Bruins having a 56 Fenwick. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Tampa Bay had and you can say they had a mediocre outing. They had a PDO of 107.2 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 51.6%. The Lightning netted 3 goals of the 35 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 power play attempts in this outing but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. As for the opposition, the Bruins had 4 power play attempts and came through by scoring 1 goal. Tampa Bay gave way to 47 shots on goal and the Bruins racked up a total of 8 penalty mins.

In goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy who is having an average season by allowing 2.56 GAA and that has him 9th among Eastern Conference goalies and 14th in the NHL. In the 3,122 minutes he's been on the ice this season, he's allowed 133 goals. He holds a save percentage of .917, which ranks him 7th among Eastern Conference goalies and 18th in the NHL. Regarding goal differential, they are sitting 2nd in the conference and 2nd in the NHL with +49. They have a total of 243 goals for the year which puts them at 1st in the East. Tampa Bay has a team save percentage of .910 which has them sitting 9th in the NHL, meaning there should be some opportunities to score. They have a shooting percentage of 11.2% which is good for 1st in the East.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take New York (+130)

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