New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 9/15/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (+136) Lightning (-167)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning host the New York Islanders at Rogers Place on Tuesday in Game 5 of their series. Tampa Bay leads the series 3-1. The Islanders open this contest at +136 while the Lightning are coming in at -167. The over/under opens at 5.5. The Islanders are covering 49.2% of the time, having gone 32-33 SU. The Lightning are covering 60.3% of the time, going 41-27 straight up.

The Islanders were on the losing side of the ice with a 4 - 1 defeat to the Lightning in Game 4. The Islanders could have played much better offensively in the loss. In the game, they finished 1 out of the 27 shots they put on goal. They also had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to score a goal. New York racked up 8 penalty minutes in their game. The Corsi for the Islanders was 52 and the Corsi against was 44 which means they earned a Corsi percentage of 54.2%. Their Fenwick sat at 36 while the Fenwick against sat at 33, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 52.2%. They took 17 face-off wins and were beaten on 31 of the face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 66.0% and they had a PDO at even strength of 89.0 in this one. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Tampa Bay Lightning racked up 36 shots. They had 8 penalty mins and they tallied 3 power play opportunities.

Looking after the net for New York is Semyon Varlamov from Kuybyshev, USSR. He is 31 years old and has played 2,517 mins in goal for the season. Varlamov is allowing an average of 2.62 goals against average which ranks him 11th in the Eastern Conference and 18th among goaltenders in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he's given up 110 goals. His save % is .914 which ranks him 12th in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have racked up a total of 189 goals which has them at 13th in the Eastern Conference and 24th in the league. Their goal differential is -1, which puts them at 19th in the league. The Islanders currently have a total of 80 pts, which has them at 14th in the league and 9th in the conference. Regarding shots toward the net, they currently have a total of 2,016 which has them at 15th in the Eastern Conference and 30th in the league. As a unit, New York currently has a total of 1,839 hits which has them averaging 27 per contest. They currently have a total of 980 blocks for the season.

In Game 4 Tampa Bay went home with a 45.8% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 44 and they gave up a Corsi of 52. Their Fenwick rate was 47.8% with a Fenwick of 33 and the Islanders ending the game with a 36 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Tampa Bay played and it was an excellent showing for this outing. Their PDO was 111.0 and they had an oZS percentage of 34.0%. The Lightning netted 4 goals of the 36 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play chances in this outing but didn't score a goal. As for the opposition, the Islanders had 3 power play opportunities but didn't put the puck in goal. Tampa Bay gave up 27 shots on goal and the Islanders ended up with a total of 8 penalty mins.

In goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy who is having an average season by allowing 2.56 goals per contest and that places him 9th in the East and 14th among goalies in the NHL. In the 3,122 minutes he's been on the ice this year, he has allowed 133 goals. He's earned a save % of .917, which has him ranked 7th in the East and 18th among goalies in the NHL. In the matter of goal differential, they are ranked 2nd in the East and 2nd in the NHL with +49. They have earned a total of 243 goals for this year which has them sitting at 1st in the conference. Tampa Bay has a team save % of .910 which has them ranked 9th in the NHL, meaning there should be some chances to score. They have a shooting percentage of 11.2% which puts them at 1st in the Eastern Conference.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-167)

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