Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Predictions, NHL Free Pick 2/22/2020
Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators
Date: Saturday, February 22, 2020
Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON
TV: CBC
Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (-125) Senators (+113)
Total/Over-Under: 6.5
Marcus Hogberg and the Ottawa Senators (21-29-11, 7th in the Atlantic Division) play the Montreal Canadiens (28-27-8, 5th in the Atlantic Division) at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday, February 22, 2020. The line on this game has the Canadiens priced at -125 and the Senators are at +113. The O/U has been set at 6.5. The Canadiens cover 40.7% of the time, having gone 24-35 SU. Ottawa covers 34.4% of the time, going 21-40 straight up.
The Montreal Canadiens head into this game holding a record of 28 victories and 27 losses, putting them at 5th in the Atlantic Division. So far this season, they have racked up a total of 187 goals which ranks 10th in the Eastern Conference and 16th in the league. Their goal differential is -7, putting them at 21st in the league. The Canadiens have earned a total of 64 pts, which ranks 22nd in the league and 12th in the East. Regarding shots at the opposing goalie, they have earned a total of 2,145 which ranks 1st in the conference and 1st in the league. As a team, Montreal has racked up a total of 1,570 hits which has them averaging 24.9 per contest. They have earned a total of 725 blocks for this year. Protecting the net for Montreal is Carey Price from Farmingville, New York. He is 32 years old and has been on the ice a total of 3,081 minutes minding the net for the season. Price is giving up an average of 2.76 goals per contest which has him ranking 17th among East goaltenders and 29th among goaltenders in the NHL. During this season, he's allowed 142 goals. He's earned a save % of .910 which has him ranking 17th among East goaltenders.
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The Montreal Canadiens had a rough game after their 4 - 3 loss against the Detroit Red Wings their last time out. The Canadiens had a middle of the road offensive outing in this loss. For this outing, they earned a goal on 3 out of the 22 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 3 power play chances and netted 2 goals out of those chances. Montreal earned a total of 6 penalty mins for this game. The Corsi for the Canadiens sat at 44 and the Corsi against was 39 which tells us they had a Corsi percentage of 53.0%. Their Fenwick sat at 32 while the Fenwick against sat at 27, telling us they have a Fenwick percentage of 54.2%. They earned 23 face-off wins at even strength and lost 30 tries to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 32.4% and they had a PDO at even strength of 86.2 for this matchup. Regarding their opponent, the Detroit Red Wings racked up a total of 25 shots. They had a total of 6 penalty minutes and they had 3 power play attempts.
The Senators will be the team across the ice and for the season they sit with 21 wins and 29 defeats. When it comes to goal differential, they sit 14th in the Eastern Conference and 27th in the NHL with -40. They currently have a total of 164 goals for the year which has them sitting at 13th in the conference. Ottawa has a save percentage as a team of .900 which currently has them ranked 19th in the NHL, which means scoring chances could be there if they are opportunistic. They have a team shooting percentage of 8.9% putting them at 12th in the East. In net for Ottawa is Marcus Hogberg who is having a rough season by surrendering 3.07 GAA and that has him ranked 24th among Eastern Conference goalies and 52nd among goalies in the NHL. In the 1,095 minutes he's played this year, he has allowed 56 goals. He holds a save percentage of .908, which puts him at 22nd among Eastern Conference goalies and 41st among goalies in the NHL.
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The Ottawa Senators squared up with the Buffalo Sabres in a game where the Senators took home the victory by a final of 7 - 4. In this matchup, Ottawa earned a 52.3% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 56 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 51. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 51.7% with a Fenwick of 45 and the Sabres having a 42 Fenwick. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Ottawa played and it was an excellent showing for this outing. They had a PDO at even strength of 96.3 and their percentage of oZS was 56.7%. The Senators scored 7 goals out of the 40 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 power play chances in this game and were able to notch 2 out of those chances. Concerning their opponent, the Sabres had 4 power play opportunities and were able to tally 1 goal. Ottawa gave up 27 shots on goal and the Sabres ended up with a total of 4 penalty minutes.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Josh's Pick: Take Ottawa (+113)
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Additional Resources:
Ottawa Senators - Twitter
Montreal Canadiens - Twitter