Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Predictions, Free NHL Pick 3/3/2020

Game: Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2020

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: FSSW/RSNW

Odds/Point Spread: Oilers (+152) Stars (-169)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Mike Smith and the Edmonton Oilers (34-23-8, 2nd in the Pacific Division) travel to American Airlines Center on Tuesday where they'll take on the Dallas Stars (37-21-7, 3rd in the Central Division). The Oilers open this game at +152 while the Stars are coming in at -169. The O/U has been set at 5.5. The Oilers are covering 50.8% of the time, having gone 32-31 SU. Dallas is covering 55.6% of the time, going 35-28 straight up.

The Edmonton Oilers head into this matchup holding a record of 34 wins and 23 defeats, ranking them 2nd in the Pacific Division. During the year thus far, they have scored a total of 202 goals which has them ranked at 6th in the West and 14th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +3, ranking them 16th in the NHL. The Oilers currently have a total of 76 points, which has them ranked at 13th in the NHL and 5th in the West. When looking at shots at the opposition, they currently have a total of 1,928 which has them ranked at 15th in the conference and 28th in the NHL. As a unit, Edmonton has compiled a total of 1,350 hits which has them averaging 20.8 per game. They currently have a total of 822 blocks for the year. The man in the crease for Edmonton is Mike Smith from Kingston, Ontario. He is 37 years old and has been on the ice a total of 2,006 minutes minding the net for the season. Smith is giving up 2.87 goals per contest which places him at 17th among Western Conference goaltenders and 36th in the NHL. During this season, he's given up 96 goals. His save % is .905 which places him at 24th among Western Conference goaltenders.

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The Edmonton Oilers were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 3 - 2 win over the Winnipeg Jets in their last contest. The Oilers had an average offensive performance in this win. In this game, they scored on 3 of the 22 shots they looked to score on. Moreover, they had 2 power play opportunities and were able to net 2 goals out of those tries. Edmonton had 4 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Oilers was 44 and the Corsi against was 67 giving them a Corsi percentage of 39.6%. Their Fenwick was 28 while the Fenwick against sat at 50, which means they had a Fenwick percentage of 35.9%. They took 20 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 21 of all total face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 40.4% and they had a PDO of 101.0 for this game. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Winnipeg Jets racked up a total of 41 shots. They finished with a total of 4 minutes in the box and they had 2 power play opportunities.

The Stars will be looking to add points to their total and for the season they sit with 37 wins and 21 losses. Regarding goal differential, they are ranked 4th in the conference and 12th in the league with +10. They have compiled a total of 175 goals for the year which has them at 12th in the West. Dallas has a team save percentage of .920 which has them sitting 2nd in the league, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a shooting percentage of 8.9% which puts them at 11th in the Western Conference. In net for Dallas is Ben Bishop who is having a marginal campaign by surrendering 2.49 GAA and that ranks him 5th among West goalies and 12th among goalies in the NHL. In the 2,358 mins he has played this year, he has given up 98 goals. His save percentage is .921, which has him placed 5th among West goalies and 10th among goalies in the NHL.

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The Dallas Stars squared up with the St. Louis Blues in a matchup where the Stars took the defeat by a tally of 4 - 3. For this game, Dallas wound up with a 49.0% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 49 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 51. Their Fenwick rate was 54.2% by notching a Fenwick of 39 and the Blues finishing with a 33 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Dallas had and it tells us they had an average game overall. They had a PDO of 101.3 and they earned an oZS percentage of 46.8%. The Stars netted 3 goals of the 31 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 1 power play opportunity in this game but didn't score a goal. Regarding the opposition, the Blues had 3 power play opportunities and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Dallas gave way to 29 shots on goal and the Blues had a total of 2 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas (-169)

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