Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals Predictions, Free NHL Pick 3/12/2020
Game: Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals
Date: Thursday, March 12, 2020
Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.
TV: FSDT/NSWA
Odds/Point Spread: Red Wings (+317) Capitals (-365)
Total/Over-Under: 6
Jonathan Bernier and the Detroit Red Wings (17-49-5, 8th in the Atlantic Division) are headed to Capital One Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Washington Capitals (41-20-8, 1st in the Metropolitan Division). The odds on this game have the Red Wings priced at +317 and the Capitals are at -365. The over/under is set at 6. The Red Wings cover 20.6% of the time, having gone 14-54 SU. The Capitals cover 56.9% of the time, going 37-28 straight up.
The Detroit Red Wings come into this matchup with a record of 17 wins and 49 defeats, putting them at 8th in the Atlantic Division. During the season thus far, they have racked up a total of 142 goals which ranks them 16th in the East and 31st in the league. Their goal differential is -123, putting them at 31st in the league. The Red Wings have earned a total of 39 points, which ranks them 31st in the league and 16th in the conference. With reference to shots at the opposition, they have earned a total of 1,924 which ranks them 16th in the conference and 31st in the league. As a group, Detroit has racked up a total of 1,470 hits which means they are averaging 20.7 per game. They have earned a total of 765 blocks for the year. The goalie for Detroit is Jonathan Bernier from Pori, Finland. He is 31 years old and has racked up 2,566 mins defending the net this year. Bernier is allowing 2.95 GAA which has him sitting 22nd in the Eastern Conference and 44th in the NHL among goaltenders. So far this season, he's allowed 126 goals. He has a save % of .907 which has him sitting 20th in the Eastern Conference.
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The Detroit Red Wings will look for better times on the ice after their 5 - 2 defeat against the Carolina Hurricanes in their last contest. The Red Wings left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in the loss. In this game, they scored on 2 out of the 25 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 5 power play attempts but weren't able to score a goal. Detroit ended up with a total of 24 penalty mins for this outing. The Corsi for the Red Wings sat at 28 and the Corsi against was 38 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 42.4%. Their Fenwick sat at 22 and the Fenwick against was 30, which earned them a Fenwick percentage of 42.3%. They earned 23 face-off wins and lost 24 of all total face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 60.5% and they had a PDO at even strength of 108.0 in this one. Regarding their opponent, the Carolina Hurricanes racked up 36 shots. They had a total of 26 penalty minutes and they notched 4 power play chances.
The Capitals will be the team on the other side of the ice and for the year they sit with 41 victories and 20 defeats. With reference to goal differential, they are ranked 5th in the Eastern Conference and 7th in the NHL with +24. They have a total of 236 goals for the year which is 3rd in the East. Washington has a save % as a team of .898 which has them sitting 28th in the NHL, which means scoring chances could be plentiful if they are aggressive. They have a team shooting percentage of 10.7% ranking them 3rd in the conference. In goal for Washington is Braden Holtby who is having a tough season by allowing 3.11 goals per contest and that places him 25th among East goaltenders and 53rd in the NHL. In the 2,743 mins he has been on the ice this season, he's given up 142 goals. He holds a save percentage of .897, which has him sitting 30th among East goaltenders and 58th in the NHL.
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The Washington Capitals faced the Buffalo Sabres in an outing where the Capitals ended up taking the loss by a tally of 3 - 2. In this outing, Washington wound up with a 59.1% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 52 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 36. Their Fenwick rate was 60.3% with a Fenwick of 41 and the Sabres finishing with a 27 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Washington played and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing. They had a PDO at even strength of 101.3 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 61.4%. The Capitals converted 2 goals out of the 35 shots on goal they attempted. They had 1 power play chance in this one but didn't score a goal. On the other side of the ice, the Sabres had 3 power play chances and ended up scoring 1 goal. Washington gave way to 26 shots on goal and the Sabres ended up with 2 penalty minutes.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Washington (-365)
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Additional Resources:
Washington Capitals - Twitter
Detroit Red Wings - Twitter