Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, 9/6/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights

Date: Sunday, September 6, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+136) Golden Knights (-169)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Rogers Place is the venue where Robin Lehner and the Vegas Golden Knights will take on the Dallas Stars on Sunday in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. Both teams are coming off 7 game series wins in the previous round.  The line on this contest has the Stars priced at +136 and the Golden Knights are at -169. The total opens at 5.5. The Stars are covering 52.2% of the time, having gone 35-32 SU. The Golden Knights are covering 52.9% of the time, going 36-32 straight up.

The Stars were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5 - 4 win over the Avalanche in Game 7 of their series. The Stars had a good offensive outing and it showed in this win. In the game, they netted 5 out of the 35 shots they looked to score on. Furthermore, they had 2 power play attempts and were able to net 2 goals out of those opportunities. Dallas earned 8 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Stars sat at 61 and the Corsi against was 66 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 48.0%. Their Fenwick sat at 39 and the Fenwick against was 45, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 46.4%. They took 36 face-off wins and were beaten on 26 tries to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 55.8% and they had a PDO at even strength of 100.6 in this game. Regarding their opponent, the Colorado Avalanche tallied 44 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 4 minutes in the box and they earned 4 power play opportunities.

In goal for Dallas is Anton Khudobin from Ust-Kamenogorsk, USSR. He is 33 years old and has played 1,677 mins protecting the net for the season. Khudobin is surrendering an average of 2.22 goals against average which puts him at 3rd among West goalies and 5th in the NHL. Over the course of this season, he's given up 62 goals. He holds a save % of .930 which puts him at 1st among West goalies. During the year thus far, they have earned a total of 178 goals which has them sitting at 14th in the Western Conference and 29th in the league. Their goal differential is +4, which puts them at 17th in the league. The Stars currently have a total of 82 pts, which has them sitting at 10th in the league and 5th in the West. Regarding shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 2,113 which has them sitting at 11th in the Western Conference and 24th in the league. As a team, Dallas currently has a total of 1,449 hits which means they are averaging 21 per contest. They currently have a total of 857 blocks for the season.

The Golden Knights opposed the Canucks in a Game 7 where the Vegas took home the victory by a score of 3 - 0. Vegas went home with a 72.2% Corsi rating. They ended up with that by earning a Corsi of 65 and they surrendered a Corsi of 25. Their Fenwick rate came in at 70.2% by earning a Fenwick of 40 and the Canucks finishing with a 17 Fenwick. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Vegas played and we'd say they played an average game. They had a PDO of 106.9 and their percentage of oZS was 63.0%. The Golden Knights notched 3 goals out of the 36 shots on goal they attempted. They had 3 power play opportunities in this one and were able to net 1 out of those tries. Concerning the opposition, the Canucks had 4 power play attempts but weren't able to take advantage of it. Vegas allowed 14 shots on goal and the Canucks had a total of 6 penalty minutes.

In net for Vegas is Robin Lehner who is having a marginal campaign by giving up 2.89 goals per game and that ranks him 20th in the West and 41st in the NHL. In the 2,055 minutes he's played this season, he has surrendered 99 goals. He has a save percentage of .920, which has him ranking 8th in the West and 13th in the NHL. With regard to goal differential, they are ranked 3rd in the Western Conference and 10th in the league with +15. They currently have a total of 224 goals for this season which is 2nd in the West. Vegas has a save percentage as a team of .900 which has them sitting 25th in the league, which means scoring chances could be there if they are opportunistic. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.1% ranking them 10th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (+136)

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