Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, 9/14/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights

Date: Monday, September 14, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+153) Golden Knights (-192)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Robin Lehner and the Vegas Golden Knights host the Dallas Stars at Rogers Place on Mondayin Game 5 of their series. Dallas leads the series 3-1. The moneyline on this contest has the Stars coming in at +153 and the Golden Knights are at -192. The total is set at 5.5. The Stars cover 52.2% of the time, having gone 35-32 SU. Vegas covers 52.9% of the time, going 36-32 straight up.

The Stars were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 2 - 1 victory over the Golden Knights in Game 4. The Stars offense left a lot to be desired in this win. In the matchup, they netted 2 out of the 20 shots they looked to score on. Furthermore, they had 4 power play chances and were able to score 1 goal out of those chances. Dallas had a total of 10 penalty mins for this matchup. The Corsi for the Stars was 25 and the Corsi against was 43 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 36.8%. Their Fenwick sat at 16 and the Fenwick against was 30, which gave them a Fenwick percentage of 34.8%. They earned 20 face-off wins and were beaten on 23 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 65.6% and they had a PDO of 107.7 in this game. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Vegas Golden Knights put up 33 shots. They finished with a total of 8 penalty minutes and they earned a total of 5 power play opportunities.

Protecting the goal for Dallas is Anton Khudobin from Ust-Kamenogorsk, USSR. He is 33 years old and has played 1,677 minutes minding the goal for the campaign. Khudobin is allowing 2.22 GAA which ranks him 3rd in the West and 5th among goaltenders in the NHL. For the season, he's allowed 62 goals. He holds a save % of .930 which ranks him 1st in the West. So far this year, they have scored a total of 178 goals which is good for 14th in the West and 29th in the league. Their goal differential is +4, which puts them at 17th in the league. The Stars have a total of 82 pts, which is good for 10th in the league and 5th in the conference. Regarding shots at the opposing goalie, they have a total of 2,113 which is good for 11th in the West and 24th in the league. As a unit, Dallas has obtained a total of 1,449 hits which means they have an average of 21 per contest. They have a total of 857 blocks for this year.

In Game 4 Vegas wound up with a 63.2% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by having a Corsi of 43 while they surrendered a Corsi of 25. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 65.2% by way of having a Fenwick of 30 and the Stars having earned a 16 Fenwick. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Vegas had and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. They had a PDO at even strength of 92.3 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 34.4%. The Golden Knights notched 1 goal of the 33 shots on goal they took. They had 5 power play chances in this game and were able to net 1 out of those chances. In discussing the opposition, the Stars had 4 power play attempts and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Vegas conceded 20 shots on goal and the Stars had 10 penalty mins.

In net for Vegas is Robin Lehner who is having an average season by giving up 2.89 goals per contest and that has him 20th among Western Conference goaltenders and 41st in the NHL. In the 2,055 mins he's been on the ice this year, he's surrendered 99 goals. He has a save % of .920, which has him ranked 8th among Western Conference goaltenders and 13th in the NHL. With reference to goal differential, they sit 3rd in the conference and 10th in the NHL with +15. They have a total of 224 goals for the year which is good for 2nd in the conference. Vegas has a save % as a team of .900 which has them sitting 25th in the NHL, meaning scoring chances could be there if they are opportunistic. They are shooting 9.1% ranking them 10th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (+153)

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