Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 9/21/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, September 21, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+135) Lightning (-162)

Total/Over-Under: 5

Anton Khudobin and the Dallas Stars are headed to Rogers Place on Monday where they'll take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Finals. The moneyline on this game has the Stars priced at +135 and the Lightning are at -162. The O/U has been set at 5. The Stars are covering 52.2% of the time, having gone 35-32 SU. The Lightning are covering 60.3% of the time, going 41-27 straight up.

The Stars were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4 - 1 victory over the Lightning in Game 1. The Stars had a solid offensive output and it showed in this victory. In the matchup, they finished 4 of the 20 shots they attempted. They also had 2 power play chances but weren't able to notch a goal in these power play chances. Dallas ended up with a total of 8 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Stars was 37 and the Corsi against was 62 which tells us they had a Corsi percentage of 37.4%. Their Fenwick was 22 while the Fenwick against was 42, telling us they have a Fenwick percentage of 34.4%. They won 17 face-off wins at even strength and lost 21 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 72.0% and they had a PDO at even strength of 127.5 for this matchup. Regarding their opponent, the Tampa Bay Lightning earned a total of 36 shots. They finished with a total of 16 minutes in the box and they notched 3 power play opportunities.

Looking after the net for Dallas is Anton Khudobin from Ust-Kamenogorsk, USSR. He is 33 years old and has racked up 1,677 minutes minding the net for the season. Khudobin is conceding an average of 2.22 goals per game which puts him at 3rd among West goaltenders and 5th in the NHL among goalies. During this year, he's given up 62 goals. His save % is .930 which puts him at 1st among West goaltenders. So far this season, they have scored a total of 178 goals which has them at 14th in the West and 29th in the league. Their goal differential is +4, which puts them at 17th in the league. The Stars have a total of 82 pts, which has them at 10th in the league and 5th in the conference. In the matter of shots at the opposing goalie, they have a total of 2,113 which has them at 11th in the conference and 24th in the league. As a group, Dallas has compiled a total of 1,449 hits which means they have an average of 21 per contest. They have a total of 857 blocks for the year.

In Game 1 Tampa Bay wound up with a 62.6% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 62 while they surrendered a Corsi of 37. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 65.6% by notching a Fenwick of 42 and the Stars having a 22 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Tampa Bay had and it tells us that they didn't have their best game. Their PDO at even strength was 72.5 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 28.0%. The Lightning netted 1 goal of the 36 shots on goal they took. They had 3 power play chances in this one but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. In discussing their opponent, the Stars had 2 power play opportunities but weren't able to put the puck in the net. Tampa Bay conceded 20 shots on goal and the Stars had 8 minutes in the box.

In goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy who is having an ok year by giving up 2.56 GAA and that places him 9th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 14th in the NHL. In the 3,122 mins he's been on the ice this year, he has surrendered 133 goals. He holds a save percentage of .917, which ranks him 7th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 18th in the NHL. When discussing goal differential, they are ranked 2nd in the East and 2nd in the NHL with +49. They have compiled a total of 243 goals for this year which ranks them 1st in the East. Tampa Bay has a team save percentage of .910 which has them sitting 9th in the NHL, meaning there should be some chances to score. They have a shooting percentage of 11.2% which is good for 1st in the East.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas (+135)

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