Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 9/19/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+144) Lightning (-160)

Total/Over-Under: 5

Rogers Place is the site where Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning will play the Dallas Stars on Saturday in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals. The Lightning open this game at -160 while the Stars are priced at +144. The O/U has been set at 5. The Stars cover 52.2% of the time, having gone 35-32 SU. Tampa Bay is covering 60.3% of the time, going 41-27 straight up.

The Stars closed out the Western Conference Finals with a 3 - 2 victory over the Golden Knights in Game 5 of their series. The Stars had a middle of the road offensive performance in this victory. While out there on the ice, they earned a goal on 3 of the 26 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 4 power play chances and were able to notch 2 goals out of those chances. Dallas racked up 10 penalty minutes for this outing. The Corsi for the Stars sat at 44 and the Corsi against was 46 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 48.9%. Their Fenwick was 25 and the Fenwick against sat at 31, meaning they had a rate of 44.6%. They earned 27 face-off wins and were beaten on 19 attempts to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts came in at 53.6% and they had a PDO at even strength of 97.6 for this matchup. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Vegas Golden Knights earned a total of 36 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 12 penalty minutes and they had 3 power play chances.

The man between the pipes for Dallas is Anton Khudobin from Ust-Kamenogorsk, USSR. He is 33 years old and has been on the ice a total of 1,677 minutes defending the goal for the season. Khudobin is surrendering 2.22 GAA which places him at 3rd among Western Conference goaltenders and 5th in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he has given up 62 goals. His save percentage is .930 which places him at 1st among Western Conference goaltenders. So far this year, they have converted a total of 178 goals which is good for 14th in the West and 29th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +4, putting them at 17th in the NHL. The Stars have earned a total of 82 pts, which is good for 10th in the NHL and 5th in the conference. Regarding shots at the opposition, they have earned a total of 2,113 which is good for 11th in the conference and 24th in the NHL. As a team, Dallas has collected a total of 1,449 hits which means they have an average of 21 per contest. They have earned a total of 857 blocks for the season.

The Lightning finished off the Islanders by a mark of 2 - 1 to win the Eastern Conference Finals in 6 games. Tampa Bay earned a 60.3% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 85 while they conceded a Corsi of 56. Their Fenwick rate came in at 63.7% by earning a Fenwick of 58 and the Islanders ending the game with a 33 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Tampa Bay played and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. They had a PDO of 100.1 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 64.1%. The Lightning scored 2 goals out of the 48 shots on goal they attempted. They had 5 power play attempts in this one but didn't score a goal. On the other side of the ice, the Islanders had 2 power play opportunities but weren't able to put the puck in the net. Tampa Bay gave up 27 shots on goal and the Islanders earned a total of 10 penalty mins.

In goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy who is having an ok year by allowing 2.56 GAA and that has him 9th among East goaltenders and 14th among goaltenders in the NHL. In the 3,122 mins he has played this year, he's given up 133 goals. He has a save % of .917, which has him ranking 7th among East goaltenders and 18th among goaltenders in the NHL. In the matter of goal differential, they are ranked 2nd in the conference and 2nd in the NHL with +49. They have a total of 243 goals for this season which has them at 1st in the conference. Tampa Bay has a save percentage as a team of .910 which has them sitting 9th in the NHL, which means there should be some opportunities to score. They have a team shooting percentage of 11.2% ranking them 1st in the East.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-160)

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