Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues Predictions, Free NHL Pick 2/29/2020

Game: Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues

Date: Saturday, February 29, 2020

Location: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO

TV: FSSW/FSMW

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+131) Blues (-145)

Total/Over-Under: 5

Ben Bishop and the Dallas Stars (37-21-6, 3rd in the Central Division) travel to Enterprise Center on Saturday where they'll meet the St. Louis Blues (38-17-10, 1st in the Central Division). The Stars open this game at +131 while the Blues are priced at -145. The over/under opens at 5. The Stars cover 56.5% of the time, having gone 35-27 SU. The Blues cover 57.8% of the time, going 37-27 straight up.

The Dallas Stars come into this matchup with a record of 37 victories and 21 defeats, which puts them at 3rd in the Central Division. So far this year, they have racked up a total of 172 goals which has them ranked at 12th in the West and 25th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +10, which puts them at 13th in the NHL. The Stars have earned a total of 80 points, which has them ranked at 7th in the NHL and 3rd in the West. When talking about shots at the opposing goalie, they have earned a total of 1,936 which has them ranked at 11th in the conference and 24th in the NHL. As a group, Dallas currently has a total of 1,335 hits which has them averaging 20.9 per contest. They have earned a total of 810 blocks for the year. Protecting the net for Dallas is Ben Bishop from Denver, Colorado. He is 33 years old and has racked up 2,358 mins minding the net for the campaign. Bishop is surrendering 2.49 goals per contest which puts him at 5th in the Western Conference and 13th among goalies in the NHL. So far this season, he's surrendered 98 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .921 which puts him at 5th in the Western Conference.

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The Dallas Stars were on the losing side of the ice with a 4 - 3 defeat against the Boston Bruins in their previous game. The Stars had a middle of the road offensive outing in the loss. In this game, they finished 3 out of the 34 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 2 power play chances and scored 1 goal out of those opportunities. Dallas earned 9 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Stars was 53 and the Corsi against was 39 giving them a Corsi percentage of 57.6%. Their Fenwick sat at 40 and the Fenwick against was 33, which gave them a rate of 54.8%. They won 23 face-off wins at even strength and lost 23 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 58.6% and they had a PDO of 92.0 for this one. When it comes to their opponent, the Boston Bruins racked up a total of 28 shots. They finished with a total of 9 minutes in the box and they earned a total of 2 power play chances.

The Blues are the team on the other side of the ice and for the season they sit with 38 wins and 17 losses. When talking about goal differential, they are ranked 2nd in the West and 4th in the league with +30. They currently have a total of 208 goals for the season which has them sitting at 2nd in the conference. St. Louis has a save % as a team of .907 which has them ranked 13th in the league, meaning there should be some opportunities to score. They have a shooting percentage of 10.4% ranking them 4th in the Western Conference. In goal for St. Louis is Jordan Binnington who is having a marginal season by allowing 2.60 goals against average and that has him ranked 6th in the West and 16th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 2,771 minutes he has been on the ice this season, he has surrendered 120 goals. He has a save % of .910, which places him at 17th in the West and 33rd in the NHL among goaltenders.

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The St. Louis Blues faced the New York Islanders in a game where the Blues got the victory by a final of 3 - 2. For this matchup, St. Louis wound up with a 68.3% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 56 while their opponent had a Corsi of 26. They had a Fenwick percentage of 63.8% with a Fenwick of 37 and the Islanders earning a 21 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that St. Louis played and it shows us they played like an average team. Their PDO at even strength was 102.5 and they earned an oZS percentage of 60.9%. The Blues netted 3 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they attempted. They had 1 power play chance in this game but didn't score a goal. Regarding their opponent, the Islanders had 2 power play opportunities and went on to score 1 goal. St. Louis gave up 17 shots on goal and the Islanders had 2 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take St. Louis (-145)

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