Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators Predictions, NHL Free Pick 2/16/2020

Game: Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Sunday, February 16, 2020

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: FSSW/TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-175) Senators (+158)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Canadian Tire Centre is the site where Marcus Hogberg and the Ottawa Senators (19-27-11, 7th in the Atlantic Division) will take on the Dallas Stars (33-19-5, 3rd in the Central Division) on Sunday. The Senators open this game at +158 while the Stars are priced at -175. The over/under opens at 5.5. The Stars are covering 56.4% of the time, having gone 31-24 SU. The Senators are covering 33.3% of the time, going 19-38 straight up.

The Dallas Stars head into this game holding a record of 33 wins and 19 losses, which puts them at 3rd in the Central Division. Thus far in the season, they have converted a total of 152 goals which is good for 12th in the Western Conference and 26th in the league. Their goal differential is +10, which puts them at 12th in the league. The Stars currently have a total of 71 points, which is good for 10th in the league and 3rd in the Western Conference. In discussing shots toward the net, they currently have a total of 1,736 which is good for 11th in the conference and 23rd in the league. As a unit, Dallas has a total of 1,185 hits which means they have an average of 20.8 per game. They currently have a total of 731 blocks for the year. The man between the pipes for Dallas is Ben Bishop from Denver, Colorado. He is 33 years old and has been on the ice a total of 2,153 minutes defending the goal this season. Bishop is giving up an average of 2.37 GAA which ranks him 4th in the West and 9th among goaltenders in the NHL. So far this year, he's given up 85 goals. He's earned a save % of .924 which ranks him 4th in the West.

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The Dallas Stars had a good night with a 3 - 2 victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs the last time they stepped on the ice. The Stars had an average offensive outing in this victory. In this game, they netted 3 out of the 19 shots they put on net. In addition, they had 4 power play attempts and were able to notch 1 goal out of those tries. Dallas racked up a total of 9 penalty mins in their game. The Corsi for the Stars sat at 30 and the Corsi against was 67 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 30.9%. Their Fenwick sat at 26 and the Fenwick against was 49, giving them a rate of 34.7%. They won 16 face-off wins and were beaten on 21 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 0.0% and they had a PDO at even strength of 108.8 in this game. Concerning opponent stats, the Toronto Maple Leafs racked up 31 shots. They had a total of 13 minutes in the box and they earned a total of 2 power play opportunities.

The Senators will be looking to get a victory in this matchup and for the season they have 19 wins and 27 losses. In terms of goal differential, they are ranked 14th in the Eastern Conference and 27th in the league with -38. They currently have a total of 150 goals for the year which has them sitting at 15th in the Eastern Conference. Ottawa has a team save percentage of .902 which currently has them sitting 17th in the league, meaning scoring chances could present themselves. They have a team shooting percentage of 8.8% which puts them at 12th in the conference. In net for Ottawa is Marcus Hogberg who is having a marginal season by allowing 2.87 goals against average and that places him 20th among East goaltenders and 35th in the NHL among goalies. In the 1,004 minutes he has played this year, he's given up 48 goals. His save percentage is .914, which has him sitting 12th among East goaltenders and 24th in the NHL among goalies.

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The Ottawa Senators faced the Arizona Coyotes in a matchup where the Senators took home the victory by a final of 3 - 2. For this game, Ottawa wound up with a 42.5% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by having a Corsi of 51 and their opponent having a Corsi of 69. They had a Fenwick percentage of 50.6% by earning a Fenwick of 41 and the Coyotes earning a 40 Fenwick. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Ottawa played and we'd say they played an average game. Their PDO at even strength was 107.9 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 25.9%. The Senators scored 3 goals of the 31 shots on goal they tried. They had 3 power play opportunities in this game but were not able to net one. As for the opposition, the Coyotes had 2 power play opportunities and ended up scoring 1 goal. Ottawa gave up 34 shots on goal and the Coyotes earned 6 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Ottawa (+158)

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