Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 9/4/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Friday, September 4, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+115) Avalanche (-141)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Michael Hutchinson and the Colorado Avalanche play the Dallas Stars at Rogers Place on Friday in Game 7 of their series. The Stars open this game at +115 while the Avalanche are priced at -141. The over/under has been set at 5.5. The Stars cover 52.2% of the time, having gone 35-32 SU. The Avalanche cover 59.4% of the time, going 41-28 straight up.

The Stars were on the losing side of the ice with a 4 - 1 loss against the Avalanche in Game 6. The Stars had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in this loss. In the game, they finished 1 out of the 28 shots they put on net. In addition, they had 1 power play chance but didn't net one. Dallas ended up with a total of 20 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Stars was 50 and the Corsi against was 45 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 52.6%. Their Fenwick was 34 and the Fenwick against was 24, telling us they have a Fenwick percentage of 58.6%. They won 26 face-off wins at even strength and lost 18 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 30.0% and they had a PDO of 77.5 for this one. Regarding their opponent, the Colorado Avalanche racked up 24 shots. They finished with a total of 12 penalty mins and they had 5 power play opportunities.

The man in goal for Dallas is Anton Khudobin from Ust-Kamenogorsk, USSR. He is 33 years old and has played 1,677 minutes in goal this year. Khudobin is conceding an average of 2.22 goals against average which puts him at 3rd among Western Conference goaltenders and 5th in the NHL among goalies. During this season, he's surrendered 62 goals. He holds a save % of .930 which puts him at 1st among Western Conference goaltenders. So far this year, they have earned a total of 178 goals which has them at 14th in the West and 29th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +4, putting them at 17th in the NHL. The Stars currently have a total of 82 pts, which has them at 10th in the NHL and 5th in the conference. In the matter of shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 2,113 which has them at 11th in the conference and 24th in the NHL. As a group, Dallas currently has a total of 1,449 hits which has them averaging 21 per game. They currently have a total of 857 blocks for the year.

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In Game 6 Colorado went home with a 47.4% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by earning a Corsi of 45 and they surrendered a Corsi of 50. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 41.4% by way of having a Fenwick of 24 and the Stars earning a 34 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Colorado had and it tells us that they played really well in this game. They had a PDO at even strength of 122.5 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 70.0%. The Avalanche scored 4 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they attempted. They had 5 power play chances in this one but didn't score a goal. Regarding their opponent, the Stars had 1 power play chance but were not able to take advantage. Colorado gave way to 28 shots on goal and the Stars racked up a total of 20 penalty mins.

In goal for Colorado is Michael Hutchinson who is having a bad campaign by allowing 3.47 goals per contest and that has him ranked 67th among goalies in the NHL. In the 847 minutes he has been on the ice this year, he has given up 49 goals. He holds a save % of .888, which puts him at 32nd among Western Conference goalies and 65th among goalies in the NHL. In discussing goal differential, they are ranked 1st in the conference and 3rd in the NHL with +46. They have a total of 236 goals for this season which puts them at 1st in the conference. Colorado has a team save % of .913 which currently has them ranked 6th in the NHL, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a shooting percentage of 10.5% which is good for 3rd in the conference.

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Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (+115)

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