Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames Predictions, Game 4 Picks, Betting Tips 8/16/2020

Game: Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames

Date: Sunday, August 15, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: CNBC

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-109) Flames (-101)

Total/Over-Under: 5

Rogers Place is the venue where Cam Talbot and the Calgary Flames will take on the Dallas Stars on Sunday in Game 4 of their series. The Flames lead the series 2-1. The moneyline on this game has the Stars coming in at -109 and the Flames are at -101. The O/U has been set at 5. The Stars cover 52.2% of the time, having gone 35-32 SU. Calgary covers 46.9% of the time, going 30-34 straight up.

The Dallas Stars step onto the ice holding a record of 37 victories and 24 defeats, which puts them at 3rd in the Central Division. So far this season, they have earned a total of 178 goals which puts them at 14th in the West and 29th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +4, which puts them at 17th in the NHL. The Stars have a total of 82 points, which puts them at 10th in the NHL and 5th in the conference. When it comes to shots on goal, they have a total of 2,113 which puts them at 11th in the conference and 24th in the NHL. As a group, Dallas has obtained a total of 1,449 hits which means they have an average of 21 per contest. They have a total of 857 blocks for this season. The man protecting the goal for Dallas is Ben Bishop from Denver, Colorado. He is 33 years old and has racked up 2,474 minutes in net for the campaign. Bishop is allowing 2.50 goals against average which puts him at 5th in the West and 11th among goalies in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he's allowed 103 goals. He has a save percentage of .920 which puts him at 7th in the West.

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The Stars will look for better times on the ice after their 2 - 0 defeat to the Flames in Game 3. The Stars left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in the loss. In the matchup, they finished 0 out of the 35 shots they put on goal. Additionally, they had 4 power play attempts but didn't net one. Dallas racked up 4 penalty mins for this outing. The Corsi for the Stars was 63 and the Corsi against was 27 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 70.0%. Their Fenwick was 43 while the Fenwick against at even strength sat at 20, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 68.3%. They earned 19 face-off wins at even strength and lost 19 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 45.0% and they had a PDO of 93.8 in this game. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Calgary Flames put up 23 shots. They had 8 penalty minutes and they had 2 power play opportunities.

The Flames will be the team across the ice and for the campaign they have 36 victories and 27 losses. When looking at goal differential, they sit 12th in the Western Conference and 23rd in the league with -10. They have compiled a total of 204 goals for the year which has them sitting at 10th in the Western Conference. Calgary has a team save % of .906 which has them ranked 13th in the league, meaning there should be some chances to score. They have a shooting percentage of 9.2% putting them at 9th in the Western Conference. In goal for Calgary is Cam Talbot who is having an ok season by giving up 2.63 GAA and that places him 10th among West goalies and 21st in the NHL. In the 1,435 minutes he's played this season, he has allowed 63 goals. His save % is .919, which ranks him 9th among West goalies and 15th in the NHL.

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In Game 3 Calgary went home with a 30.0% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 27 while they surrendered a Corsi of 63. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 31.7% with a Fenwick of 20 and the Stars having a 43 Fenwick. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Calgary had and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their PDO was 106.3 and their percentage of oZS was 55.6%. The Flames scored 2 goals of the 23 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 2 power play chances in this one but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. Regarding their opponent, the Stars had 4 power play opportunities but were not able to score a goal. Calgary allowed 35 shots on goal and the Stars had 4 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Calgary (-101)

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