Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings Predictions, NHL Picks 3/2/2020

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings

Date: Monday, March 2, 2020

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Alti/FSDT

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-270) Red Wings (+239)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Pavel Francouz and the Colorado Avalanche (39-18-7, 2nd in the Central Division) go to Little Caesars Arena on Monday where they'll meet the Detroit Red Wings (15-47-5, 8th in the Atlantic Division). The Red Wings open this matchup at +239 while the Avalanche are priced at -270. The O/U is set at 5.5. The Avalanche cover 60.3% of the time, having gone 38-25 SU. Detroit covers 20.0% of the time, going 13-52 straight up.

The Colorado Avalanche head into this game holding a record of 39 victories and 18 losses, which is good for 2nd in the Central Division. During the season thus far, they have scored a total of 220 goals which ranks 1st in the conference and 4th in the league. Their goal differential is +49, which is good for 2nd in the league. The Avalanche currently have a total of 85 points, which ranks 4th in the league and 2nd in the Western Conference. Regarding shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 2,089 which ranks 7th in the West and 13th in the league. As a unit, Colorado has collected a total of 1,098 hits which means they have an average of 17.2 per contest. They currently have a total of 772 blocks for the year. The man looking after the goal for Colorado is Pavel Francouz from Plzen, Czechoslovakia. He is 29 years old and has racked up 1,608 minutes in net this year. Francouz is allowing 2.24 GAA which has him sitting 3rd in the Western Conference and 5th in the NHL among goaltenders. For the year, he has surrendered 60 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .929 which has him sitting 3rd in the Western Conference.

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The Colorado Avalanche will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 3 - 2 victory against the Nashville Predators in their last game. The Avalanche offense didn't overly impress in this win. For this game, they scored on 3 out of the 31 shots they attempted. They also had 4 power play chances but weren't able to notch a goal in these power play chances. Colorado earned 6 penalty minutes while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Avalanche was 33 and the Corsi against was 44 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 42.9%. Their Fenwick was 25 while the Fenwick against was 38, meaning they had a rate of 39.7%. They earned 20 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 14 of the face-offs. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 35.0% and they had a PDO of 105.5 for this game. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Nashville Predators racked up a total of 32 shots. They had a total of 8 penalty mins and they notched 3 power play attempts.

The Red Wings will be the team across the ice and for the campaign they have 15 wins and 47 losses. With regard to goal differential, they rank 16th in the East and 31st in the league with -120. They have earned a total of 133 goals for the season which ranks 16th in the Eastern Conference. Detroit has a team save percentage of .885 which has them sitting 31st in the league, meaning scoring chances could be plentiful if they attack the goal. They are shooting 7.3% putting them at 16th in the conference. In net for Detroit is Jonathan Bernier who is having a bad campaign by allowing 2.94 goals per contest and that has him ranked 21st among East goaltenders and 41st among goaltenders in the NHL. In the 2,324 mins he's been on the ice, he's given up 114 goals. He's earned a save % of .907, which ranks him 21st among East goaltenders and 40th among goaltenders in the NHL.

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The Detroit Red Wings faced the Ottawa Senators in a matchup where the Red Wings took the defeat by a tally of 4 - 3. For this game, Detroit had a 44.2% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 50 and their opponent having a Corsi of 63. Their Fenwick rate came in at 42.9% by notching a Fenwick of 33 and the Senators having earned a 44 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Detroit played and you could say that they played like a middle of the road team. Their PDO at even strength was 102.9 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 50.0%. The Red Wings notched 3 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play attempts in this outing and were able to notch 1 out of those opportunities. Concerning the opposition, the Senators had 5 power play opportunities and went on to score 1 goal. Detroit conceded 39 shots on goal and the Senators had a total of 4 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Colorado (-270)

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