Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 8/30/2020

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars

Date: Sunday, August 30, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-133) Stars (+110)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Pavel Francouz and the Colorado Avalanche head to Rogers Place on Sunday where they'll meet the Dallas Stars in Game 4 of their series. Dallas leads the series 2-1. The Avalanche open this matchup at -133 while the Stars are priced at +110. The over/under opens at 6.5. The Avalanche are covering 59.4% of the time, having gone 41-28 SU. Dallas covers 52.2% of the time, going 35-32 straight up.

The Avalanche will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 6 - 4 win against the Stars in Game 3. The Avalanche had a impressive offensive output in the win. In the matchup, they scored on 6 of the 32 shots they tried. Colorado ended up with a total of 10 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Corsi for the Avalanche sat at 52 and the Corsi against was 52 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 50.0%. Their Fenwick was 38 while the Fenwick against sat at 32, which means they earned a Fenwick percentage of 54.3%. They earned 31 face-off wins at even strength and lost 24 attempts to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 74.1% and they had a PDO of 106.4 in this game. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Dallas Stars earned a total of 37 shots. They ended the game with 10 penalty minutes and they earned a total of 3 power play attempts.

The man in net for Colorado is Pavel Francouz from Plzen, Czechoslovakia. He is 29 years old and has racked up 1,914 minutes minding the goal for the year. Francouz is surrendering an average of 2.41 goals per contest which has him ranked 4th among West goalies and 8th in the NHL among goalies. Over the course of this season, he's given up 77 goals. He's earned a save % of .923 which has him ranked 4th among West goalies. During the year thus far, they have racked up a total of 236 goals which has them sitting at 1st in the conference and 4th in the league. Their goal differential is +46, which is good for 3rd in the league. The Avalanche have earned a total of 92 points, which has them sitting at 4th in the league and 2nd in the Western Conference. Regarding shots at the opposing goalie, they have earned a total of 2,257 which has them sitting at 4th in the conference and 8th in the league. As a team, Colorado has compiled a total of 1,209 hits which has them averaging 17.3 per contest. They have earned a total of 848 blocks for this season.

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In Game 3 Dallas wound up with a 50.0% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 52 while they conceded a Corsi of 52. Their Fenwick rate was 45.7% with a Fenwick of 32 and the Avalanche earning a 38 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Dallas played and they showed up in this game. They had a PDO at even strength of 93.6 and they earned an oZS percentage of 25.9%. The Stars converted 4 goals of the 37 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play opportunities in this one but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. Regarding their opponent, the Avalanche had 3 power play attempts but didn't put the puck in goal. Dallas gave up 32 shots on goal and the Avalanche ended up with 10 penalty minutes.

In goal for Dallas is Anton Khudobin who is having a marginal season by giving up 2.22 GAA and that ranks him 3rd among West goalies and 5th among goalies in the NHL. In the 1,677 mins he has played this year, he's given up 62 goals. He has a save percentage of .930, which has him placed 1st among West goalies and 3rd among goalies in the NHL. in respect to goal differential, they sit 8th in the conference and 17th in the NHL with +4. They have earned a total of 178 goals for the season which has them at 14th in the Western Conference. Dallas has a team save % of .920 which is good for 2nd in the NHL, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a shooting percentage of 8.4% ranking them 14th in the conference.

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Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas (+110)

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