Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 9/2/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars

Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-120) Stars (+109)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Pavel Francouz and the Colorado Avalanche head to Rogers Place on Wednesday where they'll meet the Dallas Stars in Game 6 of their series. The Stars lead the series 3-2. The Avalanche open this matchup at -120 while the Stars are coming in at +109. The O/U opens at 6. The Avalanche are covering 59.4% of the time, having gone 41-28 SU. Dallas is covering 52.2% of the time, going 35-32 straight up.

The Avalanche went home feeling good by earning a 6 - 3 win over the Stars in Game 5. The Avalanche had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in this victory. In the game, they finished 6 of the 41 shots they attempted. Colorado earned 18 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Avalanche sat at 33 and the Corsi against was 49 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 40.2%. Their Fenwick sat at 30 while the Fenwick against sat at 31, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 49.2%. They took 21 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 27 tries to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 28.2% and they had a PDO of 117.7 in this game. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Dallas Stars put up 34 shots. They ended the game with 38 penalty minutes and they notched 6 power play attempts.

The man looking after the goal for Colorado is Pavel Francouz from Plzen, Czechoslovakia. He is 29 years old and has racked up 1,914 mins protecting the goal for the campaign. Francouz is surrendering 2.41 goals against average which has him placed 4th in the Western Conference and 8th among goaltenders in the NHL. During this season, he's allowed 77 goals. His save % is .923 which has him placed 4th in the Western Conference. During the season thus far, they have scored a total of 236 goals which ranks 1st in the conference and 4th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +46, ranking them 3rd in the NHL. The Avalanche have earned a total of 92 pts, which ranks 4th in the NHL and 2nd in the conference. in respect to shots at the opposition, they have earned a total of 2,257 which ranks 4th in the West and 8th in the NHL. As a group, Colorado has collected a total of 1,209 hits which has them averaging 17.3 per game. They have earned a total of 848 blocks for the season.

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In Game 5 Dallas had a 59.8% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 49 and they gave up a Corsi of 33. Their Fenwick rate was 50.8% by way of having a Fenwick of 31 and the Avalanche earning a 30 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Dallas played and it shows us they played like an average team. Their PDO at even strength was 82.3 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 71.8%. The Stars notched 3 goals of the 34 shots on goal they took. They had 6 power play attempts in this game and were able to notch 2 out of those tries. As for their opponent, the Avalanche had 6 power play attempts but were not able to score a goal. Dallas allowed 41 shots on goal and the Avalanche ended up with a total of 18 minutes in the box.

In net for Dallas is Anton Khudobin who is having a marginal season by allowing 2.22 goals per contest and that has him ranked 3rd in the West and 5th in the NHL. In the 1,677 minutes he has been on the ice this year, he has surrendered 62 goals. He's earned a save % of .930, which has him sitting 1st in the West and 3rd in the NHL. in respect to goal differential, they are currently ranked 8th in the Western Conference and 17th in the NHL with +4. They currently have a total of 178 goals for this year which is 14th in the Western Conference. Dallas has a save percentage as a team of .920 which has them ranked 2nd in the NHL, meaning they are a tough group to score against. They have a team shooting percentage of 8.4% which is good for 14th in the Western Conference.

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Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Colorado (-120)

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