Colorado Avalanche vs Anaheim Ducks Predictions, NHL Picks 2/21/2020

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Anaheim Ducks

Date: Friday, February 21, 2020

Location: Honda Center in Anaheim, CA

TV: PRIT/Alt2

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-145) Ducks (+131)

Total/Over-Under: 6

John Gibson and the Anaheim Ducks (24-29-7, 7th in the Pacific Division) play the Colorado Avalanche (34-18-7, 3rd in the Central Division) at Honda Center on Friday, February 21, 2020. The Avalanche open this game at -145 while the Ducks are priced at +131. The total opens at 6. The Avalanche cover 57.6% of the time, having gone 34-25 SU. The Ducks cover 34.6% of the time, going 19-36 straight up.

The Colorado Avalanche head into this game holding a record of 34 wins and 18 defeats, which is good for 3rd in the Central Division. During the season thus far, they have scored a total of 209 goals which has them sitting at 1st in the conference and 3rd in the league. Their goal differential is +45, which is good for 3rd in the league. The Avalanche currently have a total of 75 pts, which has them sitting at 7th in the league and 3rd in the West. in respect to shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 1,932 which has them sitting at 6th in the conference and 12th in the league. As a team, Colorado has collected a total of 1,007 hits which has them averaging 17.1 per game. They currently have a total of 722 blocks for the year. In net for Colorado is Pavel Francouz from Plzen, Czechoslovakia. He is 29 years old and has played a total of 1,304 minutes defending the net this year. Francouz is surrendering an average of 2.44 goals per game which places him at 5th in the Western Conference and 13th among goalies in the NHL. Over the course of this season, he's allowed 53 goals. He holds a save percentage of .923 which places him at 4th in the Western Conference.

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The Colorado Avalanche will look to clean up some issues after taking a 4 - 3 defeat to the Tampa Bay Lightning in their last game. The Avalanche had an average offensive output in the defeat. In this matchup, they finished 3 out of the 27 shots they looked to score on. Moreover, they had 4 power play attempts and were able to net 1 goal out of those chances. Colorado ended up with 6 penalty mins for this game. The Corsi for the Avalanche sat at 49 and the Corsi against was 53 which tells us they had a Corsi percentage of 48.0%. Their Fenwick sat at 34 and the Fenwick against sat at 42, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 44.7%. They took 28 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 19 tries to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 39.3% and they had a PDO of 95.2 for this game. Concerning opponent stats, the Tampa Bay Lightning tallied a total of 27 shots. They ended the game with 12 minutes in the box and they had 1 power play chance.

The Ducks will be looking to add points to their total and for the current year they sit with 24 wins and 29 losses. In the matter of goal differential, they are sitting 13th in the Western Conference and 27th in the NHL with -38. They have earned a total of 151 goals for the season which puts them at 14th in the West. Anaheim has a team save percentage of .901 which currently has them sitting 19th in the NHL, which tells us there should be some chances to score. They are shooting 8.3% which is good for 14th in the conference. In net for Anaheim is John Gibson who is having a tough campaign by surrendering 2.99 goals per game and that has him ranked 23rd among Western Conference goalies and 47th among goaltenders in the NHL. In the 2,587 minutes he has been on the ice, he's surrendered 129 goals. He holds a save % of .904, which has him placed 25th among Western Conference goalies and 50th among goaltenders in the NHL.

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The Anaheim Ducks faced the Calgary Flames in a game where the Ducks went home in defeat by a final of 6 - 4. In their game, Anaheim earned a 38.0% Corsi rating. They ended up with that by earning a Corsi of 38 and their opponent having a Corsi of 62. Their Fenwick rate was 40.0% by way of having a Fenwick of 36 and the Flames earning a 54 Fenwick. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Anaheim played and they showed up in this game. They had a PDO of 99.8 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 38.7%. The Ducks scored 4 goals of the 30 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 power play opportunities in this outing but weren't able to notch a goal. In discussing their opponent, the Flames had 4 power play opportunities but were not able to take advantage. Anaheim conceded 43 shots on goal and the Flames earned 4 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Colorado (-145)

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