Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers Predictions, Free NHL Picks 3/7/2020
Game: Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers
Date: Saturday, March 7, 2020
Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA
TV: MSGB/NSPA
Odds/Point Spread: Sabres (+197) Flyers (-220)
Total/Over-Under: 6
Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers (40-20-7, 2nd in the Metropolitan Division) host the Buffalo Sabres (29-30-8, 6th in the Atlantic Division) at Wells Fargo Center on Saturday, March 7, 2020. The Flyers open this matchup at -220 while the Sabres are priced at +197. The O/U has been set at 6. The Sabres are covering 42.4% of the time, having gone 28-38 SU. Philadelphia is covering 56.5% of the time, going 35-27 straight up.
The Buffalo Sabres head into this game holding a record of 29 wins and 30 defeats, which puts them at 6th in the Atlantic Division. During the year thus far, they have racked up a total of 190 goals which ranks them 11th in the Eastern Conference and 21st in the league. Their goal differential is -20, which puts them at 25th in the league. The Sabres currently have a total of 66 points, which ranks them 25th in the league and 13th in the Eastern Conference. When discussing shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 1,956 which ranks them 14th in the East and 29th in the league. As a group, Buffalo currently has a total of 1,200 hits which means they have an average of 17.9 per contest. They currently have a total of 643 blocks for the season. In goal for Buffalo is Carter Hutton from Savonlinna, Finland. He is 34 years old and has racked up 1,718 minutes protecting the goal for the year. Hutton is allowing 3.18 goals per game which puts him at 26th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 56th in the NHL among goalies. During this year, he's given up 91 goals. He's earned a save % of .898 which puts him at 29th among Eastern Conference goaltenders.
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The Buffalo Sabres had a rough game after their 4 - 2 defeat against the Pittsburgh Penguins the last time they stepped on the ice. The Sabres didn't have their best offensive outing in the defeat. While out there on the ice, they finished 2 out of the 30 shots they put on goal. They also had 3 power play chances but weren't able to score. Buffalo ended up with 6 penalty minutes for this game. The Corsi for the Sabres was 44 and the Corsi against was 45 giving them a Corsi percentage of 49.4%. Their Fenwick was 34 and the Fenwick against sat at 40, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 45.9%. They won 16 face-off wins and were beaten on 23 tries to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts came in at 68.4% and they had a PDO of 94.5 in this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Pittsburgh Penguins put up 32 shots. They had 6 penalty minutes and they earned 3 power play chances.
The Flyers will be on the other side of the ice and for the season they sit with 40 victories and 20 losses. In terms of goal differential, they are sitting 3rd in the conference and 4th in the league with +36. They have earned a total of 224 goals for this season which ranks them 4th in the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia has a save percentage as a team of .902 which has them 16th in the league, which means scoring chances could be there if they are opportunistic. They have a shooting percentage of 10.6% which puts them at 4th in the Eastern Conference. In goal for Philadelphia is Carter Hart who is having an average year by surrendering 2.47 goals against average and that has him 7th among East goaltenders and 11th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 2,239 mins he has been on the ice this year, he's surrendered 92 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .911, which has him sitting 15th among East goaltenders and 32nd in the NHL among goaltenders.
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The Philadelphia Flyers faced the Carolina Hurricanes in a matchup where the Flyers ended up with the victory by a final of 4 - 1. For this matchup, Philadelphia went home with a 41.2% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 42 while the opposition had a Corsi of 60. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 47.0% by way of having a Fenwick of 39 and the Hurricanes having a 44 Fenwick. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Philadelphia played and it was a good performance overall. They had a PDO of 109.9 and their percentage of oZS was 38.2%. The Flyers converted 4 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play chances in this outing but didn't score a goal. Regarding their opponent, the Hurricanes had 1 power play chance but didn't put the puck in goal. Philadelphia allowed 29 shots on goal and the Hurricanes racked up a total of 4 minutes in the box.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-220)
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Additional Resources:
Philadelphia Fylers - Twitter
Buffalo Sabres - Twitter