Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions, Free NHL Picks 3/3/2020

Game: Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2020

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: NBCS

Odds/Point Spread: Bruins (+115) Lightning (-127)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Amalie Arena is the site where Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (41-19-5, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) will take on the Boston Bruins (41-13-12, 1st in the Atlantic Division) on Tuesday. The Lightning open this game at -127 while the Bruins are priced at +115. The total is set at 6. The Bruins cover 62.1% of the time, having gone 41-25 SU. Tampa Bay is covering 61.9% of the time, going 39-24 straight up.

The Boston Bruins come into this matchup holding a record of 41 wins and 13 losses, putting them at 1st in the Atlantic Division. During the season thus far, they have scored a total of 218 goals which has them at 5th in the Eastern Conference and 6th in the league. Their goal differential is +58, putting them at 1st in the league. The Bruins have compiled a total of 94 pts, which has them at 1st in the league and 1st in the conference. When talking about shots at the opposing goalie, they have compiled a total of 2,117 which has them at 6th in the conference and 10th in the league. As a group, Boston has racked up a total of 1,472 hits which means they have an average of 22.3 per game. They have compiled a total of 695 blocks for this year. The man in net for Boston is Tuukka Rask from Caledonia, Ontario. He is 32 years old and has totaled 2,223 mins minding the goal for the year. Rask is surrendering 2.16 goals per game which puts him at 1st among Eastern Conference goalies and 1st in the NHL among goalies. During this year, he's surrendered 80 goals. His save percentage is .928 which puts him at 3rd among Eastern Conference goalies.

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The Boston Bruins were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4 - 0 win against the New York Islanders in their last game. The Bruins had a solid offensive outing in the win. In this game, they scored on 4 out of the 30 shots they put on goal. They also had 3 power play opportunities and were able to score 1 goal out of those chances. Boston racked up 12 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Bruins was 37 and the Corsi against was 41 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 47.4%. Their Fenwick sat at 26 while the Fenwick against sat at 26, telling us they have a Fenwick percentage of 50.0%. They won 20 face-off wins and lost 17 of the face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 71.8% and they had a PDO of 113.6 for this game. Concerning opponent stats, the New York Islanders earned 25 shots. They had 6 penalty minutes and they had 6 power play opportunities.

The Lightning will be the team across the ice and for the season they sit with 41 victories and 19 defeats. In discussing goal differential, they currently sit 2nd in the East and 3rd in the league with +45. They currently have a total of 228 goals for the season which puts them at 2nd in the Eastern Conference. Tampa Bay has a team save % of .908 which is good for 10th in the league, meaning scoring chances could present themselves. They have a team shooting percentage of 11.2% putting them at 1st in the East. In goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy who is having an average year by surrendering 2.62 GAA and that places him 11th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 17th among goaltenders in the NHL. In the 2,884 minutes he has played this season, he has allowed 126 goals. He holds a save percentage of .914, which ranks him 11th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 24th among goaltenders in the NHL.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning faced the Calgary Flames in a game where the Lightning got the victory by a score of 4 - 3. In their game, Tampa Bay had a 51.1% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 45 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 43. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 57.1% with a Fenwick of 36 and the Flames finishing with a 27 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Tampa Bay played and we'd say they played well overall. They had a PDO of 92.6 and their percentage of oZS was 35.7%. The Lightning notched 4 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they took. They had 4 power play attempts in this game and were able to net 2 out of those opportunities. In discussing the opposition, the Flames had 2 power play opportunities and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Tampa Bay conceded 21 shots on goal and the Flames racked up a total of 10 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-127)

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