Boston Bruins vs Philadelphia Flyers Predictions, NHL Free Pick 3/10/2020

Tuesday, March 10, 2020

Wells Fargo Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

Tuukka Rask and the Boston Bruins (43-14-12, 1st in the Atlantic Division) go to Wells Fargo Center on Tuesday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Flyers (41-20-7, 2nd in the Metropolitan Division). The Bruins open this contest at -105 while the Flyers are coming in at -105. The over/under has been set at 5.5. The Bruins cover 62.3% of the time, having gone 43-26 SU. Philadelphia covers 57.1% of the time, going 36-27 straight up.

The Boston Bruins will look for better times on the ice after their 5 - 3 defeat to the Tampa Bay Lightning in their last game. The Bruins were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in this loss. For this game, they converted 3 of the 38 shots they attempted. They also had 4 power play opportunities and were able to net 1 goal out of those attempts. Boston ended up with 46 penalty mins for this game. The Corsi for the Bruins was 48 and the Corsi against was 41 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 53.9%. Their Fenwick sat at 37 while the Fenwick against sat at 22, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 62.7%. They earned 15 face-off wins and lost 19 of the face-offs. Their offensive zone starts came in at 37.0% and they had a PDO of 96.7 for this game. Concerning opponent stats, the Tampa Bay Lightning put up 25 shots. They finished with 48 penalty mins and they earned a total of 2 power play attempts.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bruins have 98 total points this season, which ranks them 1st in the NHL. They are 8th in the league in goals scored with 225 while they've given up 167 goals, ranking them 31st overall. They have had 223 power play opportunities and have scored 56 goals on those chances for a percentage of 25%. That is 2nd in the NHL. The Bruins have allowed 212 power play opportunities and have given up 34 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 84%, putting them 3rd in the league when short-handed. They average 32 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.14% for the season. They allow 30 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 92%. That puts them 3rd in the league in stopping the puck.

The Philadelphia Flyers faced the Buffalo Sabres in a game where the Flyers ended up with the win by a mark of 3 - 1. In this outing, Philadelphia had a 36.3% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 29 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 51. Their Fenwick percentage was 39.7% by way of having a Fenwick of 23 and the Sabres earning a 35 Fenwick. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Philadelphia played and you could say that they played like a middle of the road team. They had a PDO of 113.2 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 68.2%. The Flyers notched 3 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play chances in this one but were not able to net one. As for the opposition, the Sabres had 4 power play attempts but weren't able to take advantage of it. Philadelphia gave up 39 shots on goal and the Sabres ended up with a total of 6 penalty minutes.

Useful Team Statistics

The Flyers are 6th in the NHL with a total of 89 points this year. They have 47 power play goals on 223 opportunities for a percentage of 21%. That ranks them 12th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 206 power play opportunities and have given up 37 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%. That is 10th in the NHL. As a team, the Flyers are 5th in the league with 227 goals scored while they've given up 189 goals, which is 24th overall. They average 31 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 10.66%. As a team they give up 29 shots per game and have a save percentage of 90%. That is 16th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 12th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.7%, as they've attempted 3,194 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,108 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.8% as they have 2,440 attempts while they have given up 2,364 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 12th in the league. The Bruins start possessions in the offensive zone 52.9% of the time, which is 3rd in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 47.1% for the season. That is 29th overall in the NHL. They have 1,617 face-off wins compared to 1,504 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.8%. That ranks them 6th in the league. On defense Boston has 1,540 hits and they have blocked 744 shots from the opposition, putting them 24th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Flyers are 19th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 49.3% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 50.7% for the season, which is 12th in the NHL. They have 1,742 face-off wins compared to 1,458 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 54.4%. That is 1st in the league. On defense Philadelphia has 1,392 hits and they have blocked 717 shots from the opposition, which is 26th in the league. Philadelphia is 9th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.3% as they've attempted 3,130 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 2,971 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 51.1% ranks 11th as they have 2,355 attempts while they have given up 2,254 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Bruins/Flyers NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Boston

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