Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche Predictions, Free NHL Pick 3/4/2020

Game: Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: NBCS

Odds/Point Spread: Ducks (-245) Avalanche (+205)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

John Gibson and the Anaheim Ducks (26-31-8, 7th in the Pacific Division) head to Pepsi Center on Wednesday where they'll take on the Colorado Avalanche (40-18-7, 2nd in the Central Division). The line on this contest has the Ducks coming in at -245 and the Avalanche are at +205. The total is set at 6.5. The Ducks cover 35.0% of the time, having gone 21-39 SU. Colorado is covering 60.9% of the time, going 39-25 straight up.

The Anaheim Ducks head into this game holding a record of 26 victories and 31 defeats, ranking them 7th in the Pacific Division. Thus far in the season, they have scored a total of 163 goals which has them at 15th in the conference and 30th in the league. Their goal differential is -41, ranking them 28th in the league. The Ducks have compiled a total of 60 pts, which has them at 27th in the league and 13th in the conference. When discussing shots at the opposition, they have compiled a total of 1,941 which has them at 14th in the Western Conference and 27th in the league. As a group, Anaheim has obtained a total of 1,364 hits which means they have an average of 21 per contest. They have compiled a total of 742 blocks for this season. The man in the crease for Anaheim is John Gibson from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. He is 26 years old and has been on the ice a total of 2,891 mins minding the net for the year. Gibson is allowing 2.99 goals against average which has him ranking 25th in the West and 47th in the NHL among goaltenders. Over the course of this year, he's surrendered 144 goals. His save percentage is .904 which has him ranking 25th in the West.

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The Anaheim Ducks will need a bounce back game after taking a 3 - 0 defeat to the New Jersey Devils in their last game. The Ducks offense left a lot to be desired in the defeat. For this matchup, they finished 0 of the 34 shots they put on net. Additionally, they had 2 power play attempts but didn't net one. Anaheim had a total of 6 penalty mins in this matchup. The Corsi for the Ducks was 66 and the Corsi against was 54 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 55.0%. Their Fenwick sat at 48 and the Fenwick against sat at 39, which earned them a Fenwick percentage of 55.2%. They won 23 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 58.1% and they had a PDO of 96.8 for this game. In terms of their opponent's stats, the New Jersey Devils earned a total of 34 shots. They had a total of 4 penalty minutes and they earned 3 power play chances.

The Avalanche will be on the other side of the ice and for the season they sit with 40 wins and 18 defeats. In the matter of goal differential, they sit 1st in the Western Conference and 2nd in the NHL with +50. They have a total of 222 goals for this year which ranks 1st in the conference. Colorado has a save percentage as a team of .916 which currently has them ranked 4th in the NHL, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a team shooting percentage of 10.5% which is good for 2nd in the Western Conference. In net for Colorado is Pavel Francouz who is having an average campaign by allowing 2.24 goals per game and that places him 3rd in the West and 5th in the NHL. In the 1,608 minutes he's played, he's allowed 60 goals. He holds a save % of .929, which has him placed 3rd in the West and 5th in the NHL.

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The Colorado Avalanche faced off against the Detroit Red Wings in a game where the Avalanche ended up with the victory by a mark of 2 - 1. In this game, Colorado earned a 57.3% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by having a Corsi of 51 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 38. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 60.9% by way of having a Fenwick of 39 and the Red Wings ending the game with a 25 Fenwick. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Colorado played and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. Their PDO was 100.0 and their percentage of oZS was 61.1%. The Avalanche scored 2 goals of the 27 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 4 power play chances in this game but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. As for the opposition, the Red Wings had 4 power play chances but were not able to take advantage. Colorado gave way to 18 shots on goal and the Red Wings earned 8 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Colorado (+205)

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