Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg Jets - 1/2/20 NHL Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets

Date: Thursday, January 2, 2020

Location: Bell MTS Place in Winnipeg, MB

TV: TSN4/TSN3

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-125) Jets (+113)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (22-14-5, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) travel to Bell MTS Place on Thursday where they'll meet the Winnipeg Jets (22-15-3, 4th in the Central Division). The Maple Leafs open this matchup at -125 while the Jets are coming in at +113. The total is set at 6.5. The Maple Leafs are covering 52.5% of the time, having gone 21-19 SU. The Jets are covering 52.6% of the time, going 20-18 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into the game holding a record of 22 wins and 14 losses, which is good for 2nd in the Atlantic Division. During the season thus far, they have earned a total of 145 goals which puts them at 1st in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the NHL. Their goal differential is +15, which is good for 8th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have a total of 49 points, which puts them at 9th in the NHL and 6th in the Eastern Conference. When it comes to shots on goal, they have a total of 1,385 which puts them at 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the NHL. As a unit, Toronto has a total of 669 hits which means they are averaging 16.3 per game. They have a total of 426 blocks for the year. In net for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has racked up 1,916 mins protecting the net for the campaign. Andersen is surrendering an average of 2.66 goals per game which puts him at 10th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 18th in the NHL among goaltenders. Over the course of this year, he has allowed 85 goals. He holds a save percentage of .915 which puts him at 8th among Eastern Conference goaltenders.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 4 - 1 win over the Minnesota Wild the last time they stepped on the ice. The Maple Leafs had a impressive offensive output in this win. For this game, they netted 4 out of the 29 shots they put on goal. They also had 3 power play opportunities and were able to score 1 goal out of those opportunities. Toronto ended up with 6 penalty mins for this outing. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 48 and the Corsi against was 44 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 52.2%. Their Fenwick sat at 39 while the Fenwick against at even strength was 29, which means they had a rate of 57.4%. They won 25 face-off wins and lost 28 tries to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 42.9% and they had a PDO of 111.5 in this game. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Minnesota Wild earned a total of 27 shots. They finished with 6 penalty mins and they earned 3 power play attempts.

The Jets will be looking to add points to their total and for the campaign they sit with 22 victories and 15 defeats. In the matter of goal differential, they are currently sitting 8th in the Western Conference and 17th in the NHL with +4. They have a total of 123 goals for the season which has them ranked at 7th in the West. Winnipeg has a save percentage as a team of .910 which currently has them sitting 7th in the NHL, which means there should be some opportunities to score. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.9% ranking them 7th in the West. In goal for Winnipeg is Connor Hellebuyck who is having a marginal season by giving up 2.60 GAA and that has him 7th among West goaltenders and 16th among goalies in the NHL. In the 1,827 minutes he has been on the ice this year, he has given up 79 goals. He has a save % of .922, which puts him at 7th among West goaltenders and 11th among goalies in the NHL.

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The Winnipeg Jets went up against the Colorado Avalanche in an outing where the Jets notched a victory by a tally of 7 - 4. While out there on the ice, Winnipeg went home with a 37.4% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 40 and the other team having a Corsi of 67. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 37.8% by earning a Fenwick of 31 and the Avalanche finishing with a 51 Fenwick. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Winnipeg had and they looked good in this game. Their PDO was 118.6 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 31.3%. The Jets netted 7 goals out of the 26 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 1 power play chance in this one and converted 1 on that try. Regarding the opposition, the Avalanche had 4 power play attempts and went on to score 2 goals. Winnipeg allowed 43 shots on goal and the Avalanche had 4 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Winnipeg (+113)

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