Senators vs. Sabres Predictions, Picks, Tips 1/28/20

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSGB/TSN5/RDS

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+158) Sabres (-175)

Total/Over-Under: 6

KeyBank Center is the venue where Linus Ullmark and the Buffalo Sabres (22-20-7, 5th in the Atlantic Division) will play the Ottawa Senators (17-23-8, 7th in the Atlantic Division) on Tuesday. The Sabres open this matchup at -175 while the Senators are priced at +158. The over/under opens at 6. The Senators are covering 35.4% of the time, having gone 17-31 SU. The Sabres are covering 43.8% of the time, going 21-27 straight up.

The Ottawa Senators come into the game with a record of 17 victories and 23 defeats, ranking them 7th in the Atlantic Division. During the year thus far, they have racked up a total of 130 goals which ranks 14th in the conference and 24th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -30, ranking them 26th in the NHL. The Senators currently have a total of 42 pts, which ranks 28th in the NHL and 14th in the conference. in respect to shots at the opposition, they currently have a total of 1,428 which ranks 16th in the Eastern Conference and 31st in the NHL. As a unit, Ottawa has obtained a total of 1,253 hits which has them averaging 26.1 per game. They currently have a total of 634 blocks for this season. The man looking after the net for Ottawa is Marcus Hogberg from Orebro, Sweden. He is 25 years old and has played a total of 618 mins in net for the campaign. Hogberg is conceding 2.91 goals per game which puts him at 19th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 36th in the NHL among goalies. During this year, he's given up 30 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .907 which puts him at 18th among Eastern Conference goaltenders.

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The Ottawa Senators were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5 - 2 victory over the Calgary Flames in their last contest. The Senators played really well in this victory. In this matchup, they scored on 5 out of the 21 shots they attempted. They also had 1 power play opportunity and notched 1 goal on that chance. Ottawa ended up with 6 penalty mins while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Senators was 27 and the Corsi against was 70 which tells us they had a Corsi percentage of 27.8%. Their Fenwick was 21 and the Fenwick against sat at 50, which earned them a Fenwick percentage of 29.6%. They took 22 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 16 attempts to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 31.3% and they had a PDO of 119.3 in this one. Concerning opponent stats, the Calgary Flames racked up a total of 42 shots. They finished with a total of 2 minutes in the box and they had 3 power play attempts.

The Sabres are the team looking to add points to their total and for the season they sit with 22 wins and 20 losses. Regarding goal differential, they sit 13th in the East and 22nd in the league with -7. They currently have a total of 144 goals for the season which ranks them 11th in the Eastern Conference. Buffalo has a save percentage as a team of .901 which has them sitting 20th in the league, meaning scoring chances could be there if they are opportunistic. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.9% which is good for 8th in the conference. In net for Buffalo is Linus Ullmark who is having an ok season by giving up 2.70 goals per contest and that has him ranked 14th in the East and 22nd in the NHL. In the 1,911 minutes he has been on the ice this year, he has given up 86 goals. He holds a save % of .914, which ranks him 11th in the East and 21st in the NHL.

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The Buffalo Sabres played the Nashville Predators in an outing where the Sabres took the loss by a tally of 2 - 1. In their game, Buffalo had a 43.3% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 42 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 55. Their Fenwick percentage was 41.9% by way of having a Fenwick of 31 and the Predators earning a 43 Fenwick. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Buffalo had and we'd say it was a below average outing in all. They had a PDO of 100.7 and they had an oZS percentage of 61.8%. The Sabres converted 1 goal out of the 31 shots on goal they took. They had 3 power play attempts in this game but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. In discussing their opponent, the Predators had 3 power play chances and came through by scoring 1 goal. Buffalo gave up 37 shots on goal and the Predators racked up a total of 6 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa (+158)

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