Lightning vs. Stars Predictions, Picks, Tips 1/27/20

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars

Date: Monday, January 27, 2020

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: NBCS

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-141) Stars (+119)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (29-15-4, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) head to American Airlines Center on Monday where they'll take on the Dallas Stars (27-17-4, 3rd in the Central Division). The Stars open this game at +119 while the Lightning are coming in at -141. The over/under is set at 6. The Lightning are covering 58.7% of the time, having gone 27-19 SU. The Stars are covering 54.4% of the time, going 25-21 straight up.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into the game holding a record of 29 wins and 15 losses, ranking them 2nd in the Atlantic Division. So far this season, they have racked up a total of 173 goals which puts them at 4th in the East and 5th in the league. Their goal differential is +36, ranking them 3rd in the league. The Lightning currently have a total of 62 points, which puts them at 6th in the league and 5th in the Eastern Conference. When talking about shots at the opposition, they currently have a total of 1,541 which puts them at 10th in the Eastern Conference and 19th in the league. As a unit, Tampa Bay currently has a total of 1,021 hits which has them averaging 21.3 per contest. They currently have a total of 469 blocks for the year. In goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy from London, Ontario. He is 25 years old and has played a total of 2,104 minutes in goal for the season. Vasilevskiy is conceding an average of 2.54 GAA which has him ranked 10th in the East and 16th among goaltenders in the NHL. During this season, he has allowed 89 goals. His save % is .917 which has him ranked 9th in the East.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning had a good night with a 7 - 1 victory against the Winnipeg Jets in their previous game. The Lightning had a impressive offensive performance in the victory. In this game, they scored on 7 of the 26 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 1 power play opportunity but weren't able to notch a goal in these power play chances. Tampa Bay earned 4 penalty minutes for this game. The Corsi for the Lightning was 48 and the Corsi against was 55 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 46.6%. Their Fenwick was 34 while the Fenwick against sat at 41, which tells us they had a rate of 45.3%. They won 27 face-off wins at even strength and lost 21 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 33.3% and they had a PDO of 128.1 for this game. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Winnipeg Jets earned a total of 31 shots. They had a total of 2 penalty minutes and they had 2 power play chances.

The Stars will be looking to add points to their total and for the season they sit with 27 victories and 17 losses. In discussing goal differential, they rank 5th in the Western Conference and 15th in the NHL with +5. They currently have a total of 123 goals for this year which is good for 14th in the conference. Dallas has a save % as a team of .922 which is good for 1st in the NHL, which means scoring opportunities may be scarce. They have a team shooting percentage of 8.4% which puts them at 12th in the Western Conference. In goal for Dallas is Ben Bishop who is having a marginal year by giving up 2.28 goals against average and that ranks him 3rd among Western Conference goalies and 6th in the NHL among goalies. In the 1,789 mins he's played, he has surrendered 68 goals. He has a save percentage of .927, which has him placed 2nd among Western Conference goalies and 5th in the NHL among goalies.

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The Dallas Stars squared up with the Minnesota Wild in a matchup where the Stars went home in defeat by a score of 7 - 0. In their game, Dallas earned a 53.3% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 48 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 42. Their Fenwick rate was 51.5% by earning a Fenwick of 35 and the Wild having earned a 33 Fenwick. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Dallas had and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing. Their PDO was 84.6 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 55.7%. The Stars scored 0 goals of the 27 shots on goal they took. They had 1 power play attempt in this one but weren't able to score a goal. Regarding the opposition, the Wild had 3 power play chances and used that advantage to score 3 goals. Dallas conceded 32 shots on goal and the Wild ended up with a total of 18 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-141)

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