Florida Panthers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins - 1/5/20 NHL Picks, Odds, and Prediction
Game: Florida Panthers vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Date: Sunday, January 5, 2020
Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA
TV: FSFL/ATTP
Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (+103) Penguins (-123)
Total/Over-Under: 6
PPG Paints Arena is the site where Tristan Jarry and the Pittsburgh Penguins (24-11-5, 3rd in the Metropolitan Division) will play the Florida Panthers (21-14-5, 4th in the Atlantic Division) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Panthers priced at +103 and the Penguins are at -123. The O/U is set at 6. The Panthers are covering 48.7% of the time, having gone 18-19 SU. The Penguins are covering 57.9% of the time, going 22-16 straight up.
The Florida Panthers come into the game with a record of 21 victories and 14 defeats, putting them at 4th in the Atlantic Division. So far this season, they have scored a total of 142 goals which has them sitting at 3rd in the East and 4th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +8, putting them at 14th in the NHL. The Panthers have a total of 47 points, which has them sitting at 15th in the NHL and 9th in the Eastern Conference. Regarding shots toward the net, they have a total of 1,330 which has them sitting at 7th in the Eastern Conference and 11th in the NHL. As a unit, Florida has obtained a total of 681 hits which means they have an average of 17 per contest. They have a total of 500 blocks for the season. The man protecting the goal for Florida is Sergei Bobrovsky from Ogdensburg, New York. He is 31 years old and has been on the ice a total of 1,810 minutes minding the net for the season. Bobrovsky is conceding 3.28 goals per game which has him sitting 28th among East goaltenders and 59th among goalies in the NHL. Over the course of this season, he has allowed 99 goals. He has a save % of .897 which has him sitting 26th among East goaltenders.
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The Florida Panthers came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 6 - 3 victory against the Ottawa Senators in their previous contest. The Panthers had a impressive offensive outing in this win. In this game, they earned a goal on 6 of the 31 shots they tried. They also had 3 power play chances and were able to notch 2 goals out of those chances. Florida earned 6 penalty mins for this outing. The Corsi for the Panthers sat at 47 and the Corsi against was 61 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 43.5%. Their Fenwick was 33 while the Fenwick against sat at 41, which means they earned a Fenwick percentage of 44.6%. They earned 24 face-off wins and lost 23 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 39.3% and they had a PDO at even strength of 103.6 in this game. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Ottawa Senators earned 31 shots. They had a total of 6 penalty minutes and they had 3 power play attempts.
The Penguins will be the team across the ice and for the campaign they sit with 24 wins and 11 defeats. In discussing goal differential, they are ranked 2nd in the East and 3rd in the league with +29. They have compiled a total of 136 goals for the season which is good for 7th in the Eastern Conference. Pittsburgh has a team save percentage of .909 which has them sitting 8th in the league, which tells us scoring chances could be there if they are opportunistic. They have a team shooting percentage of 10.2% ranking them 7th in the East. In net for Pittsburgh is Tristan Jarry who is having a solid season by surrendering only 1.94 GAA and that ranks him 1st among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 1st in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 1,084 minutes he's been on the ice, he has given up 35 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .936, which places him at 1st among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 1st in the NHL among goaltenders.
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The Pittsburgh Penguins faced off against the San Jose Sharks in a game where the Penguins took a loss by a final score of 3 - 2. In this game, Pittsburgh had a 55.8% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by having a Corsi of 58 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 46. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 57.5% by notching a Fenwick of 46 and the Sharks finishing with a 34 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Pittsburgh played and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. They had a PDO at even strength of 99.4 and they had an oZS percentage of 68.9%. The Penguins netted 2 goals of the 38 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play opportunities in this outing but didn't score a goal. In discussing the opposition, the Sharks had 2 power play chances and used that advantage to score 1 goal. Pittsburgh gave up 32 shots on goal and the Sharks had 4 penalty minutes.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Florida (+103)
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Additional Resources:
Pittsburgh Penguins - Twitter
Florida Panthers - Twitter