Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Point Spread Picks 11/16/2019

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Saturday, November 16, 2019

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: ATTP/CBC

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-105) Penguins (-115)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (9-7-4, 4th in the Atlantic Division) go to PPG Paints Arena on Saturday where they'll take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (10-6-2, 5th in the Metropolitan Division). The odds on this matchup have the Maple Leafs coming in at -105 and the Penguins are at -115. The over/under opens at 6.5. The Maple Leafs cover 42.1% of the time, having gone 8-11 SU. The Penguins cover 52.9% of the time, going 9-8 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into this matchup with a record of 9 victories and 7 losses, which puts them at 4th in the Atlantic Division. During the season thus far, they have racked up a total of 67 goals which ranks them 2nd in the conference and 4th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +2, which puts them at 16th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs currently have a total of 22 pts, which ranks them 15th in the NHL and 8th in the Eastern Conference. in respect to shots toward the net, they currently have a total of 666 which ranks them 1st in the East and 4th in the NHL. As a team, Toronto has racked up a total of 283 hits which means they are averaging 14.2 per game. They currently have a total of 181 blocks for this year. The goaltender for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has totaled 905 minutes defending the goal for the season. Andersen is giving up 2.72 GAA which ranks him 10th in the East and 21st in the NHL among goaltenders. Over the course of this season, he has surrendered 41 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .912 which ranks him 10th in the East.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 5 - 4 defeat against the New York Islanders in their last game. The Maple Leafs had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in the defeat. In this matchup, they converted 4 of the 27 shots they put on net. Furthermore, they had 2 power play opportunities but weren't able to score a goal. Toronto earned 6 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 52 and the Corsi against was 32 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 61.9%. Their Fenwick sat at 33 and the Fenwick against was 25, which means they had a Fenwick percentage of 56.9%. They took 17 face-off wins and lost 19 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 68.8% and they had a PDO of 102.4 in this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the New York Islanders tallied a total of 30 shots. They had a total of 4 penalty mins and they tallied 3 power play attempts.

The Penguins are the team looking to add points to their total and for the year they sit with 10 wins and 6 losses. Regarding goal differential, they sit 4th in the conference and 5th in the league with +12. They have a total of 59 goals for the season which puts them at 8th in the conference. Pittsburgh has a team save % of .910 which has them sitting 11th in the league, which means there should be some opportunities to score. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.5% which puts them at 11th in the conference. In net for Pittsburgh is Matt Murray who is having a marginal campaign by allowing 2.39 goals against average and that has him 3rd among Eastern Conference goalies and 8th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 878 mins he has played this season, he has given up 35 goals. His save percentage is .914, which puts him at 8th among Eastern Conference goalies and 18th in the NHL among goaltenders.

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The Pittsburgh Penguins opposed the New York Rangers in a matchup where the Penguins took a loss by a final score of 3 - 2. For this game, Pittsburgh went home with a 55.3% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 47 and the other team having a Corsi of 38. Their Fenwick rate came in at 55.9% by notching a Fenwick of 33 and the Rangers having a 26 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Pittsburgh played and it tells us that they didn't have their best game. Their PDO was 90.2 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 40.0%. The Penguins converted 2 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play chances in this outing and were able to notch 1 out of those opportunities. As for their opponent, the Rangers had 2 power play chances but were not able to notch a goal. Pittsburgh allowed 27 shots on goal and the Rangers had a total of 6 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-105)

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