Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers - 12/3/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Tuesday, December 3, 2019

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NSPA/TSN4

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-116) Flyers (+105)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Wells Fargo Center is the venue where Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers (15-7-5, 3rd in the Metropolitan Division) will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (13-11-4, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) on Tuesday. The Maple Leafs open this game at -116 while the Flyers are priced at +105. The O/U is set at 6.5. The Maple Leafs are covering 44.4% of the time, having gone 12-15 SU. The Flyers are covering 50.0% of the time, going 12-12 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into this game holding a record of 13 wins and 11 losses, putting them at 3rd in the Atlantic Division. During the season thus far, they have earned a total of 92 goals which puts them at 3rd in the conference and 4th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +2, putting them at 15th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have a total of 30 points, which puts them at 15th in the NHL and 8th in the Eastern Conference. Regarding shots at the opposing goalie, they have a total of 950 which puts them at 1st in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the NHL. As a unit, Toronto has obtained a total of 411 hits which means they are averaging 14.7 per game. They have a total of 252 blocks for the year. The man in goal for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has racked up 1,264 minutes protecting the goal for the season. Andersen is allowing 2.47 goals against average which has him sitting 5th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 10th in the NHL. During this season, he's surrendered 52 goals. His save % is .921 which has him sitting 4th among Eastern Conference goaltenders.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 2 - 1 victory against the Buffalo Sabres in their last contest. The Maple Leafs didn't have their best offensive outing in the win. For this game, they netted 2 of the 43 shots they attempted. Moreover, they had 1 power play chance and scored 1 goal on that opportunity. Toronto ended up with 4 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs sat at 51 and the Corsi against was 47 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 52.0%. Their Fenwick sat at 41 and the Fenwick against sat at 40, telling us they have a rate of 50.6%. They won 23 face-off wins and lost 17 attempts to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 50.0% and they had a PDO at even strength of 99.0 for this matchup. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Buffalo Sabres earned a total of 30 shots. They had a total of 2 penalty minutes and they earned 2 power play opportunities.

The Flyers are the team looking to add points to their total and for the current year they sit with 15 victories and 7 losses. Regarding goal differential, they sit 6th in the East and 8th in the NHL with +9. They currently have a total of 82 goals for this season which has them at 10th in the conference. Philadelphia has a save % as a team of .908 which has them sitting 12th in the NHL, meaning scoring chances could present themselves. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.2% which is good for 12th in the conference. In goal for Philadelphia is Carter Hart who is having an ok season by surrendering 2.44 goals against average and that has him ranked 4th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 9th in the NHL among goalies. In the 912 minutes he has played this season, he's allowed 37 goals. He has a save percentage of .906, which has him ranking 15th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 32nd in the NHL among goalies.

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The Philadelphia Flyers opposed the Montreal Canadiens in a game where the Flyers ended up with the victory by a score of 4 - 3. For this game, Philadelphia earned a 51.0% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 49 while their opponent had a Corsi of 47. Their Fenwick rate came in at 45.7% by earning a Fenwick of 32 and the Canadiens finishing with a 38 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Philadelphia had and they showed up in this game. They had a PDO of 111.9 and their oZS percentage was 53.3%. The Flyers converted 4 goals of the 29 shots on goal they took. They had 2 power play chances in this game but were not able to net one. Regarding the opposition, the Canadiens had 3 power play opportunities and ended up scoring 1 goal. Philadelphia allowed 42 shots on goal and the Canadiens had a total of 4 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-116)

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