Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 11/27/2019

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings

Date: Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: FSDT/RSN

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-210) Red Wings (+188)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (11-10-4, 5th in the Atlantic Division) head to Little Caesars Arena on Wednesday where they'll meet the Detroit Red Wings (7-16-3, 8th in the Atlantic Division). The Red Wings open this matchup at +188 while the Maple Leafs are coming in at -210. The O/U has been set at 6. The Maple Leafs are covering 41.7% of the time, having gone 10-14 SU. The Red Wings are covering 26.9% of the time, going 7-19 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into this game holding a record of 11 wins and 10 defeats, ranking them 5th in the Atlantic Division. So far this season, they have earned a total of 80 goals which ranks 5th in the Eastern Conference and 7th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -3, ranking them 19th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs currently have a total of 26 points, which ranks 18th in the NHL and 10th in the conference. When talking about shots toward the net, they currently have a total of 824 which ranks 2nd in the conference and 5th in the NHL. As a unit, Toronto has racked up a total of 379 hits which means they have an average of 15.2 per game. They currently have a total of 236 blocks for the year. The goaltender for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has played 1,142 minutes protecting the goal this season. Andersen is surrendering an average of 2.68 GAA which has him ranking 9th in the Eastern Conference and 19th among goaltenders in the NHL. During this year, he's given up 51 goals. He's earned a save % of .916 which has him ranking 5th in the Eastern Conference.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5 - 3 win against the Colorado Avalanche their last time out. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive output and it showed in the victory. In this game, they earned a goal on 5 out of the 28 shots they tried. Additionally, they had 2 power play attempts and were able to net 1 goal out of those attempts. Toronto ended up with a total of 6 penalty minutes for this game. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs sat at 46 and the Corsi against was 58 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 44.2%. Their Fenwick was 32 while the Fenwick against was 38, telling us they have a Fenwick percentage of 45.7%. They earned 19 face-off wins and lost 26 of the face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 42.9% and they had a PDO at even strength of 110.5 for this one. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Colorado Avalanche earned 37 shots. They finished with 4 minutes in the box and they earned 3 power play attempts.

The Red Wings are the team looking to add points to their total and for the campaign they sit with 7 wins and 16 defeats. Regarding goal differential, they rank 16th in the East and 31st in the league with -38. They currently have a total of 59 goals for the season which is 14th in the Eastern Conference. Detroit has a save % as a team of .883 which has them 30th in the league, which means there could be plenty of chances to score if they are aggressive. They have a shooting percentage of 7.8% putting them at 15th in the East. In net for Detroit is Jonathan Bernier who is having a tough season by giving up 3.30 goals per game and that has him ranked 20th among East goaltenders and 41st in the NHL among goalies. In the 836 minutes he has played this year, he has allowed 46 goals. He holds a save percentage of .890, which has him placed 23rd among East goaltenders and 44th in the NHL among goalies.

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The Detroit Red Wings went up against the Carolina Hurricanes in a matchup where the Red Wings took the defeat by a mark of 2 - 0. For this outing, Detroit had a 42.9% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 27 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 36. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 42.2% by earning a Fenwick of 19 and the Hurricanes earning a 26 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Detroit played and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. Their PDO at even strength was 95.2 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 45.9%. The Red Wings netted 0 goals of the 19 shots on goal they pursued. They had 1 power play attempt in this game but were not able to net one. In discussing their opponent, the Hurricanes had 2 power play opportunities but weren't able to take advantage of it. Detroit gave up 36 shots on goal and the Hurricanes ended up with a total of 2 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-210)

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