Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche NHL Picks 11/23/2019

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Saturday, November 23, 2019

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: Alti/CBC

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+109) Avalanche (-120)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Pepsi Center is the site where Philipp Grubauer and the Colorado Avalanche (13-7-2, 2nd in the Central Division) will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (10-10-4, 4th in the Atlantic Division) on Saturday. The Maple Leafs open this game at +109 while the Avalanche are priced at -120. The O/U opens at 6.5. The Maple Leafs are covering 39.1% of the time, having gone 9-14 SU. Colorado is covering 59.1% of the time, going 13-9 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs step onto the ice with a record of 10 wins and 10 defeats, which puts them at 4th in the Atlantic Division. So far this year, they have racked up a total of 75 goals which puts them at 5th in the Eastern Conference and 7th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -5, which puts them at 21st in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have earned a total of 24 points, which puts them at 17th in the NHL and 9th in the East. With reference to shots at the opposing goalie, they have earned a total of 796 which puts them at 1st in the conference and 2nd in the NHL. As a unit, Toronto has obtained a total of 365 hits which means they have an average of 15.2 per game. They have earned a total of 216 blocks for the year. Protecting the goal for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has totaled 1,083 mins minding the goal this year. Andersen is surrendering an average of 2.66 GAA which ranks him 5th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 14th among goalies in the NHL. Over the course of this season, he's allowed 48 goals. He has a save % of .915 which ranks him 5th among Eastern Conference goaltenders.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 3 - 1 win against the Arizona Coyotes the last time they stepped on the ice. The Maple Leafs had a middle of the road offensive output in the win. For this game, they converted 3 of the 33 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 0 power play opportunities but weren't able to notch a goal in these power play chances. Toronto racked up a total of 6 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 61 and the Corsi against was 42 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 59.2%. Their Fenwick was 44 while the Fenwick against was 29, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 60.3%. They earned 31 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 tries to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 60.0% and they had a PDO of 102.6 in this game. Regarding their opponent, the Arizona Coyotes put up 31 shots. They finished with a total of 0 penalty minutes and they notched 3 power play attempts.

The Avalanche will be looking to get a victory in this matchup and for the season they sit with 13 wins and 7 losses. When looking at goal differential, they currently sit 1st in the Western Conference and 5th in the NHL with +14. They currently have a total of 78 goals for the year which has them at 1st in the Western Conference. Colorado has a save percentage as a team of .913 which has them ranked 6th in the NHL, which means scoring opportunities may be scarce. They have a team shooting percentage of 11.2% which is good for 1st in the West. In goal for Colorado is Philipp Grubauer who is having an ok year by surrendering 2.76 goals against average and that ranks him 11th among West goaltenders and 21st among goaltenders in the NHL. In the 782 minutes he's been on the ice this season, he's surrendered 36 goals. He holds a save % of .916, which has him placed 9th among West goaltenders and 13th among goaltenders in the NHL.

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The Colorado Avalanche opposed the Minnesota Wild in a matchup where the Avalanche went home in defeat by a tally of 3 - 2. For this game, Colorado had a 48.1% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 37 and the other team having a Corsi of 40. Their Fenwick rate was 43.6% with a Fenwick of 24 and the Wild having earned a 31 Fenwick. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Colorado had and it could be said that this team has had better games. Their PDO at even strength was 96.7 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 65.6%. The Avalanche notched 2 goals out of the 27 shots on goal they took. They had 2 power play chances in this game and were able to notch 1 out of those tries. Regarding the opposition, the Wild had 4 power play attempts and ended up scoring 1 goal. Colorado gave up 31 shots on goal and the Wild ended up with 6 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (+109)

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