Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres NHL Picks 11/29/2019

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Friday, November 29, 2019

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSGB/TSN4

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-143) Sabres (+129)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Linus Ullmark and the Buffalo Sabres (11-10-4, 6th in the Atlantic Division) play the Toronto Maple Leafs (12-10-4, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) at KeyBank Center on Friday, November 29, 2019. The Maple Leafs open this matchup at -143 while the Sabres are priced at +129. The O/U has been set at 6.5. The Maple Leafs are covering 44.0% of the time, having gone 11-14 SU. Buffalo is covering 41.7% of the time, going 10-14 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into this game holding a record of 12 wins and 10 losses, which is good for 3rd in the Atlantic Division. So far this season, they have scored a total of 86 goals which puts them at 5th in the East and 5th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +3, which is good for 13th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have earned a total of 28 points, which puts them at 14th in the NHL and 8th in the Eastern Conference. When looking at shots at the opposing goalie, they have earned a total of 878 which puts them at 1st in the East and 3rd in the NHL. As a group, Toronto has compiled a total of 389 hits which means they have an average of 15 per contest. They have earned a total of 241 blocks for the season. Looking after the goal for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has totaled 1,202 mins defending the goal for the season. Andersen is giving up 2.54 GAA which has him ranked 4th in the East and 10th in the NHL. For the year, he's surrendered 51 goals. He has a save % of .919 which has him ranked 5th in the East.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs had a good night with a 6 - 0 victory against the Detroit Red Wings in their previous contest. The Maple Leafs had a good offensive output in the victory. In this matchup, they netted 6 of the 54 shots they tried. In addition, they had 1 power play attempt and were able to net 1 goal on that attempt. Toronto ended up with 0 penalty minutes for this outing. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 62 and the Corsi against was 36 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 63.3%. Their Fenwick was 52 while the Fenwick against was 31, which gave them a Fenwick percentage of 62.7%. They took 28 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 22 of all total face-offs. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 68.6% and they had a PDO of 111.9 for this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Detroit Red Wings tallied a total of 25 shots. They had a total of 2 minutes in the box and they tallied 1 power play chance.

The Sabres will be the team across the ice and for the season they have 11 wins and 10 losses. When it comes to goal differential, they are sitting 12th in the East and 22nd in the NHL with -5. They currently have a total of 70 goals for this season which ranks them 11th in the conference. Buffalo has a save % as a team of .906 which currently has them ranked 13th in the NHL, meaning there should be some chances to score. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.0% ranking them 11th in the conference. In goal for Buffalo is Linus Ullmark who is having a tough season by allowing 2.92 GAA and that has him ranked 15th among East goaltenders and 31st in the NHL. In the 720 mins he has been on the ice, he has allowed 35 goals. He holds a save % of .914, which ranks him 7th among East goaltenders and 17th in the NHL.

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The Buffalo Sabres went up against the Calgary Flames in an outing where the Sabres took the loss by a final of 3 - 2. In this game, Buffalo earned a 53.7% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 44 and the other team having a Corsi of 38. Their Fenwick rate was 53.1% by earning a Fenwick of 34 and the Flames having earned a 30 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Buffalo had and it could be said that this team has had better games. Their PDO at even strength was 91.7 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 52.8%. The Sabres converted 2 goals out of the 36 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play opportunities in this game but didn't score a goal. In discussing their opponent, the Flames had 2 power play attempts but were not able to score a goal. Buffalo gave way to 29 shots on goal and the Flames had a total of 4 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-143)

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