Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 2/14/2019

Thursday, February 14, 2019

T-Mobile Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to T-Mobile Arena to play the Vegas Golden Knights on Thursday, February 14, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +100 and the Golden Knights at -125.

Toronto has a record of 35-18-3 this season. They are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 200 goals and given up 159 goals for a point differential of +41. For the season they have an ATS record of 35-21-0 and an over/under record of 26-26-0. Vegas is 31-23-4 this season. They are 3rd in the Pacific Division. They have scored 172 goals and surrendered 162 for a goal differential of +10. Their record against the spread is 31-27-0 while their over/under record is 26-28-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 35-21-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 26-26-0 against the over/under this season

Important Vegas Golden Knights Betting Trends

The Vegas Golden Knights are 31-27-0 straight up this year

The Vegas Golden Knights are 26-28-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

12/23/18 LW Tyler Ennis Ankle is out indefinitely
01/21/19 LW Andreas Johnsson Concussion is out indefinitely

Key Vegas Golden Knights Injuries

11/07/18 LW Erik Haula Knee is out indefinitely
02/12/19 C Ryan Carpenter Undisclosed is questionable Thursday vs Toronto
02/01/19 D Nick Holden Lower Body IR (01/23)
01/21/19 GO Malcolm Subban Illness IR (01/21)

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner has accumulated 67 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 20 goals this year with 148 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He has a total of 47 assists on the season and averages 19.6 minutes played per game. Morgan Rielly averages 22.8 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 14 goals on 147 shots. He has 41 assists, giving him a total of 55 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 26 wins and 11 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,289 shots against him and he's given up 99 goals. He's made 1,190 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

William Karlsson has scored 36 total points this year for the Golden Knights. He has 17 goals this season with 118 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He has a total of 19 assists on the season and averages 19.3 minutes played per game. Jon Marchessault averages 18.8 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 9% by scoring 19 goals on 211 shots. He has 20 assists, giving him a total of 39 points on the season. Marc-Andre Fleury has 29 wins and 17 losses this year in goal for the Golden Knights. He has 1,392 shots against him and he's surrendered 126 goals. He's made 1,266 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 73 total points this season, which ranks them 5th in the NHL. They are 4th in the league in goals scored with 200 while they've given up 159 goals, ranking them 27th overall. They have had 146 power play opportunities and have scored 31 goals on those chances for a percentage of 21%. That is 12th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have allowed 144 power play opportunities and have given up 27 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, putting them 12th in the league when short-handed. They average 32 shots per game and as a team shoot 11.22% for the season. They allow 33 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 6th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Golden Knights are 12th in the NHL with a total of 66 points this year. They have 31 power play goals on 172 opportunities for a percentage of 18%. That ranks them 20th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 166 power play opportunities and have given up 28 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 83%. That is 6th in the NHL. As a team, the Golden Knights are 14th in the league with 172 goals scored while they've given up 162 goals, which is 25th overall. They average 34 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 8.84%. As a team they give up 29 shots per game and have a save percentage of 90%. That is 14th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.4%, as they've attempted 3,563 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,370 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.3% as they have 2,634 attempts while they have given up 2,604 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 15th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 50.6% of the time, which is 17th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.4% for the season. That is 15th overall in the NHL. They have 1,799 face-off wins compared to 1,608 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.8%. That ranks them 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 937 hits and they have blocked 766 shots from the opposition, putting them 23rd overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Golden Knights are 6th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 54.2% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 45.8% for the season, which is 26th in the NHL. They have 1,716 face-off wins compared to 1,756 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49.4%. That is 20th in the league. On defense Vegas has 1,588 hits and they have blocked 806 shots from the opposition, which is 15th in the league. Vegas is 3rd in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 54.3% as they've attempted 3,666 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,091 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 54.1% ranks 3rd as they have 2,692 attempts while they have given up 2,285 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Golden Knights NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Vegas -125

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn