Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Game Picks 1/17/2019

Thursday, January 17, 2019

Amalie Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head to Amalie Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday, January 17, 2019. The opening line for this contest has the Maple Leafs at +131 and the Lightning at -145.

Toronto has a record of 28-15-2 this year. They are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They've tallied 161 goals and surrendered 128 goals for a point differential of +33. For the year they have an ATS mark of 28-17-0 and an over/under record of 21-21-0. Tampa Bay has a record of 36-9-2 this season. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 191 goals and given up 133 for a goal differential of +58. Their record against the spread is 35-11-0 while their over/under mark is 26-18-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 28-17-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 21-21-0 against the over/under this season

Important Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 35-11-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 26-18-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

12/23/18 LW Tyler Ennis Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Morgan Rielly has scored 47 total points this year for the Maple Leafs. He has 13 goals this season with 122 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He has a total of 34 assists on the year and averages 22.5 minutes played per contest. Mitch Marner averages 19.6 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 14% by tallying 18 goals on 127 attempts. He has 41 assists, giving him a total of 59 points on the year. Frederik Andersen has 20 wins and 10 losses this season in goal for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,001 shots against him and he's surrendered 78 goals. He's made 923 stops for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Brayden Point has 61 total points this season for the Lightning. He has 29 goals this year with 123 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 24%. He has a total of 32 assists on the year and averages 18.4 minutes played per contest. Nikita Kucherov averages 19.2 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 17% by scoring 22 goals on 132 attempts. He has 53 assists, giving him a total of 75 points on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has 19 wins and 5 losses this season in net for the Lightning. He has 859 shots against him and he's given up 64 goals. He's made 795 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 58 total points this year, which is 9th in the NHL. They've scored 161 goals while giving up 128 scores, which has them ranked 5th and 27th respectively. They have had 117 power play chances and scored 26 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 22%. That is 8th in the league. The Maple Leafs have given up 115 power play opportunities and surrendered 22 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, ranking them 13th when short-handed. They average 32 shots per contest and as a team shoot 11.31% for the year. They allow 32 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 91%, which is 7th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning are 1st in the league with a total of 74 points this season. They have 46 power play goals on 158 chances for a percentage of 29%. That is 1st in the NHL. They've given up 153 power play opportunities and surrendered 25 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 84%, ranking 6th overall. As a team, the Lightning are 1st with a total of 191 goals scored while they've given up 133 goals this season, ranking 22nd in goals against. They average 33 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 12.36%. As a unit they give up 32 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 91%, putting them 6th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 10th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.2%, as they've attempted 2,860 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 2,722 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.1% as they have 2,121 attempts while they have given up 2,111 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 15th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 50.8% of the time, which is 15th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.2% for the season. That is 17th overall in the NHL. They have 1,451 face-off wins compared to 1,311 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.5%. That ranks them 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 756 hits and they have blocked 611 shots from the opposition, putting them 26th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Lightning are 18th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50.3% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49.7% for the season, which is 14th in the NHL. They have 1,429 face-off wins compared to 1,404 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.4%. That is 13th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 1,134 hits and they have blocked 655 shots from the opposition, which is 16th in the league. Tampa Bay is 11th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.8% as they've attempted 2,774 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 2,684 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 51.1% ranks 12th as they have 2,119 attempts while they have given up 2,029 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Lightning NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto +131

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