Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Picks 3/27/2019

Wednesday, March 27, 2019

Wells Fargo Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to Wells Fargo Center to play the Philadelphia Flyers on Wednesday, March 27, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at -130 and the Flyers at +110.

Toronto has a record of 45-25-6 this season. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 271 goals and given up 228 goals for a point differential of +43. For the season they have an ATS record of 44-31-0 and an over/under record of 37-34-0. Philadelphia is 36-32-8 this season. They are 6th in the Metropolitan Division. They have scored 227 goals and surrendered 251 for a goal differential of -24. Their record against the spread is 36-40-0 while their over/under record is 40-35-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 44-31-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 37-34-0 against the over/under this season

Important Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Flyers are 36-40-0 straight up this year

The Philadelphia Flyers are 40-35-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

02/28/19 D Jake Gardiner Back is out indefinitely
02/28/19 D Travis Dermott Upper Body is out indefinitely

Key Philadelphia Flyers Injuries

01/12/19 GO Michal Neuvirth Undisclosed IR (01/12)

Player Spotlight

Morgan Rielly has accumulated 70 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 20 goals this year with 208 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He has a total of 50 assists on the season and averages 23 minutes played per game. Mitch Marner averages 19.7 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 12% by scoring 25 goals on 217 shots. He has 65 assists, giving him a total of 90 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 35 wins and 15 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,808 shots against him and he's given up 150 goals. He's made 1,658 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Sean Couturier has scored 73 total points this year for the Flyers. He has 31 goals this season with 202 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 15%. He has a total of 42 assists on the season and averages 22.1 minutes played per game. Claude Giroux averages 21.4 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 9% by scoring 20 goals on 220 shots. He has 60 assists, giving him a total of 80 points on the season. Carter Hart has 15 wins and 11 losses this year in goal for the Flyers. He has 851 shots against him and he's surrendered 67 goals. He's made 784 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 96 total points this season, which ranks them 4th in the NHL. They are 2nd in the league in goals scored with 271 while they've given up 228 goals, ranking them 15th overall. They have had 196 power play opportunities and have scored 44 goals on those chances for a percentage of 22%. That is 7th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have allowed 191 power play opportunities and have given up 37 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, putting them 15th in the league when short-handed. They average 33 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.80% for the season. They allow 33 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 9th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Flyers are 18th in the NHL with a total of 80 points this year. They have 37 power play goals on 216 opportunities for a percentage of 17%. That ranks them 21st in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 219 power play opportunities and have given up 45 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 79%. That is 21st in the NHL. As a team, the Flyers are 13th in the league with 227 goals scored while they've given up 251 goals, which is 6th overall. They average 31 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 9.52%. As a team they give up 33 shots per game and have a save percentage of 90%. That is 25th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.7%, as they've attempted 4,918 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,597 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.6% as they have 3,653 attempts while they have given up 3,561 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 13th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 51% of the time, which is 16th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49% for the season. That is 14th overall in the NHL. They have 2,442 face-off wins compared to 2,160 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 53.1%. That ranks them 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,295 hits and they have blocked 1,036 shots from the opposition, putting them 22nd overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Flyers are 22nd in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 48.7% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 51.3% for the season, which is 10th in the NHL. They have 2,451 face-off wins compared to 1,994 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 55.1%. That is 1st in the league. On defense Philadelphia has 1,650 hits and they have blocked 1,190 shots from the opposition, which is 6th in the league. Philadelphia is 17th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.4% as they've attempted 4,402 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,503 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 49.8% ranks 16th as they have 3,291 attempts while they have given up 3,313 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Flyers NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto -130

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