Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 3/19/2019

Tuesday, March 19, 2019

Bridgestone Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to Bridgestone Arena to play the Nashville Predators on Tuesday, March 19, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +106 and the Predators at -137.

Toronto has a record of 43-24-5 this season. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 259 goals and given up 216 goals for a point differential of +43. For the season they have an ATS record of 43-29-0 and an over/under record of 37-31-0. Nashville is 41-27-5 this season. They are 2nd in the Central Division. They have scored 215 goals and surrendered 194 for a goal differential of +21. Their record against the spread is 41-32-0 while their over/under record is 31-39-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 43-29-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 37-31-0 against the over/under this season

Important Nashville Predators Betting Trends

The Nashville Predators are 41-32-0 straight up this year

The Nashville Predators are 31-39-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

03/15/19 RW Kasperi Kapanen Concussion is questionable Tuesday vs Nashville
02/28/19 D Jake Gardiner Back is out indefinitely
02/28/19 D Travis Dermott Upper Body is out indefinitely

Key Nashville Predators Injuries

03/05/19 D Dan Hamhuis Lower Body IR (03/05)
01/29/19 LW Austin Watson Suspension is out indefinitely
01/18/19 LW Zac Rinaldo Lower Body IR (01/18)
01/07/19 RW Miikka Salomaki Upper Body is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Morgan Rielly has accumulated 68 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 20 goals this year with 197 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He has a total of 48 assists on the season and averages 22.9 minutes played per game. Mitch Marner averages 19.6 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 12% by scoring 24 goals on 203 shots. He has 61 assists, giving him a total of 85 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 34 wins and 14 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,725 shots against him and he's given up 141 goals. He's made 1,584 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Mattias Ekholm has scored 42 total points this year for the Predators. He has 8 goals this season with 133 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 6%. He has a total of 34 assists on the season and averages 23.4 minutes played per game. Roman Josi averages 25.2 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 6% by scoring 15 goals on 251 shots. He has 40 assists, giving him a total of 55 points on the season. Pekka Rinne has 25 wins and 18 losses this year in goal for the Predators. He has 1,347 shots against him and he's surrendered 117 goals. He's made 1,230 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 91 total points this season, which ranks them 5th in the NHL. They are 2nd in the league in goals scored with 259 while they've given up 216 goals, ranking them 17th overall. They have had 184 power play opportunities and have scored 43 goals on those chances for a percentage of 23%. That is 7th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have allowed 182 power play opportunities and have given up 35 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, putting them 15th in the league when short-handed. They average 33 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.98% for the season. They allow 33 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 8th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Predators are 10th in the NHL with a total of 87 points this year. They have 31 power play goals on 238 opportunities for a percentage of 13%. That ranks them 30th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 225 power play opportunities and have given up 43 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%. That is 14th in the NHL. As a team, the Predators are 14th in the league with 215 goals scored while they've given up 194 goals, which is 27th overall. They average 33 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 8.93%. As a team they give up 30 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%. That is 9th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 9th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.4%, as they've attempted 4,635 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,381 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.3% as they have 3,439 attempts while they have given up 3,394 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 14th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 50.6% of the time, which is 18th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.4% for the season. That is 14th overall in the NHL. They have 2,311 face-off wins compared to 2,050 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 53%. That ranks them 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,236 hits and they have blocked 987 shots from the opposition, putting them 21st overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Predators are 8th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 53% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 47% for the season, which is 24th in the NHL. They have 2,282 face-off wins compared to 2,150 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.5%. That is 7th in the league. On defense Nashville has 1,343 hits and they have blocked 956 shots from the opposition, which is 25th in the league. Nashville is 6th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 52.7% as they've attempted 4,404 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,948 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 52.6% ranks 6th as they have 3,325 attempts while they have given up 2,992 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Predators NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Nashville -137

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