Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 1/18/2019

Friday, January 18, 2019

BB&T Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to BB&T Center to play the Florida Panthers on Friday, January 18, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at -150 and the Panthers at +120.

Toronto has a record of 28-15-2 this season. They are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 161 goals and given up 128 goals for a point differential of +33. For the season they have an ATS record of 28-17-0 and an over/under record of 21-21-0. Florida is 17-20-8 this season. They are 7th in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 139 goals and surrendered 165 for a goal differential of -26. Their record against the spread is 17-28-0 while their over/under record is 25-15-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 28-17-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 21-21-0 against the over/under this season

Important Florida Panthers Betting Trends

The Florida Panthers are 17-28-0 straight up this year

The Florida Panthers are 25-15-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

12/23/18 LW Tyler Ennis Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Florida Panthers Injuries

12/13/18 C Vincent Trocheck Ankle is out indefinitely
10/23/18 C Derek MacKenzie Shoulder is out for season
01/17/19 D MacKenzie Weegar Upper Body injured last game, is questionable Friday vs Toronto

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner has accumulated 59 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 18 goals this year with 127 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He has a total of 41 assists on the season and averages 19.6 minutes played per game. Morgan Rielly averages 22.5 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 11% by scoring 13 goals on 122 shots. He has 34 assists, giving him a total of 47 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 20 wins and 10 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,001 shots against him and he's given up 78 goals. He's made 923 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Aleksander Barkov has scored 44 total points this year for the Panthers. He has 17 goals this season with 115 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 15%. He has a total of 27 assists on the season and averages 23.2 minutes played per game. Evgeni Dadonov averages 19 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 14% by scoring 18 goals on 125 shots. He has 19 assists, giving him a total of 37 points on the season. Roberto Luongo has 8 wins and 11 losses this year in goal for the Panthers. He has 623 shots against him and he's surrendered 67 goals. He's made 556 saves for a save percentage of 89%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 58 total points this season, which ranks them 9th in the NHL. They are 5th in the league in goals scored with 161 while they've given up 128 goals, ranking them 27th overall. They have had 117 power play opportunities and have scored 26 goals on those chances for a percentage of 22%. That is 9th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have allowed 115 power play opportunities and have given up 22 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, putting them 12th in the league when short-handed. They average 32 shots per game and as a team shoot 11.31% for the season. They allow 32 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 7th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Panthers are 27th in the NHL with a total of 42 points this year. They have 41 power play goals on 158 opportunities for a percentage of 26%. That ranks them 4th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 132 power play opportunities and have given up 27 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%. That is 16th in the NHL. As a team, the Panthers are 15th in the league with 139 goals scored while they've given up 165 goals, which is 4th overall. They average 34 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 9.05%. As a team they give up 31 shots per game and have a save percentage of 88%. That is 30th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 10th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.2%, as they've attempted 2,860 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 2,722 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.1% as they have 2,121 attempts while they have given up 2,111 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 15th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 50.8% of the time, which is 15th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.2% for the season. That is 17th overall in the NHL. They have 1,451 face-off wins compared to 1,311 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.5%. That ranks them 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 756 hits and they have blocked 611 shots from the opposition, putting them 26th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Panthers are 12th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 51.8% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 48.2% for the season, which is 20th in the NHL. They have 1,381 face-off wins compared to 1,469 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48.5%. That is 21st in the league. On defense Florida has 980 hits and they have blocked 602 shots from the opposition, which is 28th in the league. Florida is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.6% as they've attempted 2,676 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 2,509 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 51.8% ranks 8th as they have 2,049 attempts while they have given up 1,907 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Panthers NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Florida +120

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