Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche Expert NHL Picks 2/12/2019

Tuesday, February 12, 2019

Pepsi Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head to Pepsi Center to take on the Colorado Avalanche on Tuesday, February 12, 2019. The opening line for this contest has the Maple Leafs at -120 and the Avalanche at -108.

Toronto has a record of 34-18-3 this year. They are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They've tallied 195 goals and surrendered 157 goals for a point differential of +38. For the year they have an ATS mark of 34-20-0 and an over/under record of 25-25-0. Colorado has a record of 22-22-11 this season. They are 6th in the Central Division. They have scored 180 goals and given up 183 for a goal differential of -3. Their record against the spread is 22-32-0 while their over/under mark is 30-23-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 34-20-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 25-25-0 against the over/under this season

Important Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends

The Colorado Avalanche are 22-32-0 straight up this year

The Colorado Avalanche are 30-23-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

12/23/18 LW Tyler Ennis Ankle is out indefinitely
01/21/19 LW Andreas Johnsson Concussion is out indefinitely

Key Colorado Avalanche Injuries

12/11/18 C Vladislav Kamenev Shoulder is out indefinitely
10/04/18 D Conor Timmins Concussion is out indefinitely
01/21/19 D Erik Johnson Upper Body is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Morgan Rielly has scored 55 total points this year for the Maple Leafs. He has 14 goals this season with 145 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He has a total of 41 assists on the year and averages 22.8 minutes played per contest. Mitch Marner averages 19.7 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 14% by tallying 20 goals on 148 attempts. He has 46 assists, giving him a total of 66 points on the year. Frederik Andersen has 25 wins and 11 losses this season in goal for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,253 shots against him and he's surrendered 97 goals. He's made 1,156 stops for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Nathan MacKinnon has 74 total points this season for the Avalanche. He has 29 goals this year with 238 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 45 assists on the year and averages 22 minutes played per contest. Mikko Rantanen averages 21.1 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 17% by scoring 24 goals on 141 attempts. He has 51 assists, giving him a total of 75 points on the year. Semyon Varlamov has 13 wins and 13 losses this season in net for the Avalanche. He has 1,055 shots against him and he's given up 99 goals. He's made 956 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 71 total points this year, which is 6th in the NHL. They've scored 195 goals while giving up 157 scores, which has them ranked 4th and 25th respectively. They have had 140 power play chances and scored 28 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 20%. That is 16th in the league. The Maple Leafs have given up 141 power play opportunities and surrendered 27 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, ranking them 12th when short-handed. They average 32 shots per contest and as a team shoot 11.12% for the year. They allow 33 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 91%, which is 6th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Avalanche are 22nd in the league with a total of 55 points this season. They have 47 power play goals on 201 chances for a percentage of 23%. That is 7th in the NHL. They've given up 194 power play opportunities and surrendered 45 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 77%, ranking 27th overall. As a team, the Avalanche are 10th with a total of 180 goals scored while they've given up 183 goals this season, ranking 7th in goals against. They average 32 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 10.10%. As a unit they give up 31 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 90%, putting them 27th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.6%, as they've attempted 3,519 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,304 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.4% as they have 2,601 attempts while they have given up 2,558 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 14th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 50.6% of the time, which is 17th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.4% for the season. That is 15th overall in the NHL. They have 1,773 face-off wins compared to 1,578 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.9%. That ranks them 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 917 hits and they have blocked 746 shots from the opposition, putting them 23rd overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Avalanche are 5th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 54.3% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 45.7% for the season, which is 27th in the NHL. They have 1,605 face-off wins compared to 1,706 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48.5%. That is 25th in the league. On defense Colorado has 1,103 hits and they have blocked 837 shots from the opposition, which is 10th in the league. Colorado is 14th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.3% as they've attempted 3,230 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,197 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.3% ranks 15th as they have 2,389 attempts while they have given up 2,360 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Avalanche NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto -120

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