Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames NHL Picks & Predictions 3/4/2019

Monday, March 4, 2019

Scotiabank Saddledome

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to Scotiabank Saddledome to play the Calgary Flames on Monday, March 4, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +110 and the Flames at -135.

Toronto has a record of 40-21-4 this season. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 233 goals and given up 186 goals for a point differential of +47. For the season they have an ATS record of 39-25-0 and an over/under record of 31-29-0. Calgary is 41-17-7 this season. They are 1st in the Pacific Division. They have scored 232 goals and surrendered 182 for a goal differential of +50. Their record against the spread is 41-23-0 while their over/under record is 35-27-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 39-25-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 31-29-0 against the over/under this season

Important Calgary Flames Betting Trends

The Calgary Flames are 41-23-0 straight up this year

The Calgary Flames are 35-27-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

03/02/19 C Nazem Kadri Concussion is doubtful Monday vs Calgary
02/28/19 D Jake Gardiner Back is out indefinitely
02/28/19 D Travis Dermott Upper Body is out indefinitely

Key Calgary Flames Injuries

02/20/19 LW James Neal Lower Body is out indefinitely
02/20/19 D Michael Stone Arm IR (11/21)

Player Spotlight

Morgan Rielly has accumulated 62 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 16 goals this year with 171 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 9%. He has a total of 46 assists on the season and averages 22.8 minutes played per game. Mitch Marner averages 19.6 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 12% by scoring 23 goals on 185 shots. He has 55 assists, giving him a total of 78 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 31 wins and 13 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,562 shots against him and he's given up 120 goals. He's made 1,442 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Johnny Gaudreau has scored 83 total points this year for the Flames. He has 30 goals this season with 198 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 15%. He has a total of 53 assists on the season and averages 20.2 minutes played per game. Sean Monahan averages 19.5 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 16% by scoring 30 goals on 187 shots. He has 40 assists, giving him a total of 70 points on the season. Mike Smith has 19 wins and 12 losses this year in goal for the Flames. He has 894 shots against him and he's surrendered 94 goals. He's made 800 saves for a save percentage of 90%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 84 total points this season, which ranks them 4th in the NHL. They are 2nd in the league in goals scored with 233 while they've given up 186 goals, ranking them 20th overall. They have had 168 power play opportunities and have scored 38 goals on those chances for a percentage of 23%. That is 7th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have allowed 166 power play opportunities and have given up 33 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%, putting them 16th in the league when short-handed. They average 32 shots per game and as a team shoot 11.13% for the season. They allow 33 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 5th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Flames are 2nd in the NHL with a total of 89 points this year. They have 50 power play goals on 229 opportunities for a percentage of 22%. That ranks them 11th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 205 power play opportunities and have given up 42 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%. That is 21st in the NHL. As a team, the Flames are 4th in the league with 232 goals scored while they've given up 182 goals, which is 23rd overall. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 11.08%. As a team they give up 29 shots per game and have a save percentage of 90%. That is 18th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.4%, as they've attempted 4,154 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,931 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.3% as they have 3,075 attempts while they have given up 3,036 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 14th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 50.9% of the time, which is 16th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.1% for the season. That is 15th overall in the NHL. They have 2,076 face-off wins compared to 1,852 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.9%. That ranks them 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,119 hits and they have blocked 895 shots from the opposition, putting them 21st overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Flames are 7th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 53.7% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 46.3% for the season, which is 25th in the NHL. They have 1,987 face-off wins compared to 1,829 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.1%. That is 3rd in the league. On defense Calgary has 977 hits and they have blocked 828 shots from the opposition, which is 30th in the league. Calgary is 4th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 53.2% as they've attempted 3,907 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,435 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 52.7% ranks 5th as they have 2,903 attempts while they have given up 2,607 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Flames NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Calgary -135

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