Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres NHL Picks & Predictions 3/20/2019

Wednesday, March 20, 2019

KeyBank Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to KeyBank Center to play the Buffalo Sabres on Wednesday, March 20, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at -159 and the Sabres at +120.

Toronto has a record of 43-24-5 this season. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 259 goals and given up 216 goals for a point differential of +43. For the season they have an ATS record of 43-29-0 and an over/under record of 37-31-0. Buffalo has a record of 31-32-9 this year. They are 6th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 195 goals and surrendered 230 for a goal differential of -35. Their record against the spread is 31-41-0 while their over/under record is 39-30-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 43-29-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 37-31-0 against the over/under this season

Important Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 31-41-0 straight up this year

The Buffalo Sabres are 39-30-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

03/18/19 C Frederik Gauthier Foot is out Tuesday vs Nashville & Wednesday vs Buffalo
03/15/19 RW Kasperi Kapanen Concussion is questionable Tuesday vs Nashville
02/28/19 D Jake Gardiner Back is out indefinitely
02/28/19 D Travis Dermott Upper Body is out indefinitely

Key Buffalo Sabres Injuries

03/04/19 D Jake McCabe Upper Body is out 4-6 weeks

Player Spotlight

Frederik Andersen has 34 wins and 14 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,725 shots against him and he's given up 141 goals. He's made 1,584 saves for a save percentage of 92%. Mitch Marner has accumulated 85 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 24 goals this year with 203 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 61 assists on the season and averages 19.6 minutes played per game. Morgan Rielly averages 22.9 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 20 goals on 197 shots. He has 48 assists, giving him a total of 68 points on the season.

Player Spotlight

Sam Reinhart has scored 59 total points this year for the Sabres. He has 18 goals this season with 153 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 41 assists on the season and averages 19 minutes played per game. Carter Hutton has 17 wins and 20 losses this year in goal for the Sabres. He has 1,326 shots against him and he's surrendered 119 goals. He's made 1,207 saves for a save percentage of 91%. Jeff Skinner averages 18.7 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 16% by scoring 37 goals on 236 shots. He has 22 assists, giving him a total of 59 points on the season.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have allowed 182 power play opportunities and have given up 35 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81% this year. That is 14th in the NHL. They average 33 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.98% for the season. They allow 33 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%, which is ranked 7th in the league. The Maple Leafs have 91 total points this season, ranking 5th in the NHL in offense. They are 3rd in the league with 259 goals while they've given up 216 goals, which is 17th overall. They have had 184 power play opportunities and scored 43 goals on those chances for a percentage of 23%. That is 7th in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Sabres are 25th with 195 goals scored while they are 9th in the NHL with 230 goals allowed this year. They average 33 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 8.29%. They give up 33 shots per game and have a save percentage of 90%, putting them in 16th place in the league. The Sabres have a total of 71 points this year, which is 24th in the NHL. They have 38 power play goals on 209 opportunities for a percentage of 18%. That ranks their power play unit 18th. They've allowed 187 power play opportunities and have given up 35 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, which is 9th overall.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 9th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.4%, as they've attempted 4,635 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,381 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.3% as they have 3,439 attempts while they have given up 3,394 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 14th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 50.6% of the time, which is 18th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.4% for the season. That is 14th overall in the NHL. They have 2,311 face-off wins compared to 2,050 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 53%. That ranks them 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,236 hits and they have blocked 987 shots from the opposition, putting them 21st overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Sabres are 17th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50.9% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49.1% for the season, which is 15th in the NHL. They have 2,063 face-off wins compared to 2,216 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48.2%. That is 27th in the league. On defense Buffalo has 1,364 hits and they have blocked 905 shots from the opposition, which is 30th in the league. Buffalo is 15th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50% as they've attempted 4,097 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,102 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50% ranks 15th as they have 3,194 attempts while they have given up 3,197 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Sabres NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo +120

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