Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins Expert Game 7 Picks Against the Spread 4/23/2019

Tuesday, April 23, 2019

TD Garden

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to TD Garden to play the Boston Bruins on Tuesday in Game 7 of their first round series. The Bruins forced Game 7 with a 4-2 win on Sunday. Brad Marchand had 2 goals and an assist to lead the way for Boston. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +127 and the Bruins at -140.

Toronto had a regular season record of 46-28-8 this season. They were 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 286 goals and given up 249 goals for a point differential of +37. For the season they have an ATS record of 49-38-0 and an over/under record of 41-42-0. Boston was 49-24-9 this season. They were 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 257 goals and surrendered 212 for a goal differential of +45. Their record against the spread is 51-36-0 while their over/under record is 36-47-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 49-38-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 41-42-0 against the over/under this season

Important Boston Bruins Betting Trends

The Boston Bruins are 51-36-0 straight up this year

The Boston Bruins are 36-47-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

04/15/19 C Nazem Kadri Suspension is out 5 games

Key Boston Bruins Injuries

04/21/19 RW Chris Wagner Undisclosed is questionable Tuesday vs Toronto
04/20/19 D Kevan Miller Lower Body is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

John Tavares has accumulated 88 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 47 goals this year with 286 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 41 assists on the season and averages 19.1 minutes played per game. Mitch Marner averages 19.8 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 11% by scoring 26 goals on 233 shots. He has 68 assists, giving him a total of 94 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 36 wins and 16 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,958 shots against him and he's given up 162 goals. He's made 1,796 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

David Pastrnak has scored 81 total points this year for the Bruins. He has 38 goals this season with 235 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 43 assists on the season and averages 18.8 minutes played per game. Brad Marchand averages 19.6 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 16% by scoring 36 goals on 231 shots. He has 64 assists, giving him a total of 100 points on the season. Tuukka Rask has 27 wins and 13 losses this year in goal for the Bruins. He has 1,245 shots against him and he's surrendered 109 goals. He's made 1,136 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 100 total points this season, which ranks them 7th in the NHL. They are 4th in the league in goals scored with 286 while they've given up 249 goals, ranking them 12th overall. They have had 209 power play opportunities and have scored 46 goals on those chances for a percentage of 22%. That is 8th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have allowed 202 power play opportunities and have given up 41 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%, putting them 19th in the league when short-handed. They average 33 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.45% for the season. They allow 33 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 10th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bruins are 2nd in the NHL with a total of 107 points this year. They have 65 power play goals on 251 opportunities for a percentage of 26%. That ranks them 3rd in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 244 power play opportunities and have given up 49 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%. That is 16th in the NHL. As a team, the Bruins are 11th in the league with 257 goals scored while they've given up 212 goals, which is 28th overall. They average 33 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 9.59%. As a team they give up 29 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%. That is 7th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.8%, as they've attempted 5,328 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,960 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.8% as they have 3,974 attempts while they have given up 3,847 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 11th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 51.3% of the time, which is 16th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 48.7% for the season. That is 16th overall in the NHL. They have 2,629 face-off wins compared to 2,330 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 53%. That ranks them 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,421 hits and they have blocked 1,113 shots from the opposition, putting them 23rd overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Bruins are 7th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 53.5% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 46.5% for the season, which is 25th in the NHL. They have 2,454 face-off wins compared to 2,385 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.7%. That is 10th in the league. On defense Boston has 1,876 hits and they have blocked 1,050 shots from the opposition, which is 28th in the league. Boston is 6th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 52.6% as they've attempted 4,846 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,374 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 52.9% ranks 5th as they have 3,732 attempts while they have given up 3,324 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Bruins NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Boston -140

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