Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 10/30/2019

Wednesday, October 30, 2019

Prudential Center

Cory Schneider and the New Jersey Devils (2-5-2, 8th in the Metropolitan Division) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (5-3-2, 5th in the Atlantic Division) at Prudential Center on Wednesday, October 30, 2019. The moneyline on this matchup has the Lightning priced at -130 and the Devils are at +118. The total is set at 6. The Lightning are covering 44.4% of the time, having gone 4-5 SU. New Jersey covers 22.2% of the time, going 2-7 straight up.

The Tampa Bay Lightning head into this game holding a record of 5 wins and 3 defeats, putting them at 5th in the Atlantic Division. During the season thus far, they have earned a total of 33 goals which puts them at 10th in the conference and 17th in the league. Their goal differential is +1, putting them at 16th in the league. The Lightning have a total of 12 points, which puts them at 18th in the league and 9th in the conference. Regarding shots at the opposition, they have a total of 314 which puts them at 13th in the Eastern Conference and 28th in the league. As a team, Tampa Bay has a total of 192 hits which means they have an average of 19.2 per game. They have a total of 97 blocks for the year. The man looking after the goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy from London, Ontario. He is 25 years old and has racked up 421 minutes minding the goal this year. Vasilevskiy is conceding an average of 2.99 goals per game which has him ranking 13th in the East and 28th in the NHL among goalies. Over the course of this season, he's given up 21 goals. His save % is .907 which has him ranking 14th in the East.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 3 - 2 loss to the Nashville Predators in their last game. The Lightning left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in this loss. In this game, they finished 2 of the 30 shots they tried. Additionally, they had 4 power play opportunities and notched 1 goal out of those attempts. Tampa Bay earned 10 penalty mins in their game. The Corsi for the Lightning sat at 36 and the Corsi against was 38 giving them a Corsi percentage of 48.6%. Their Fenwick was 25 and the Fenwick against was 33, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 43.1%. They took 19 face-off wins and were beaten on 18 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 38.5% and they had a PDO at even strength of 101.4 for this one. When it comes to their opponent, the Nashville Predators racked up 40 shots. They had a total of 8 penalty mins and they notched 5 power play opportunities.

The Devils will be the team across the ice and for the campaign they have 2 victories and 5 losses. With regard to goal differential, they are sitting 15th in the conference and 28th in the league with -12. They have a total of 22 goals for the year which puts them at 16th in the Eastern Conference. New Jersey has a save % as a team of .870 which currently has them ranked 30th in the league, meaning scoring chances could be plentiful if they attack the goal. They are shooting 8.3% ranking them 14th in the Eastern Conference. In net for New Jersey is Cory Schneider who is having a rough year by surrendering 4.08 goals per contest and that has him 25th among Eastern Conference goalies and 46th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 220 mins he's been on the ice this season, he's allowed 15 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .876, which has him ranked 23rd among Eastern Conference goalies and 43rd in the NHL among goaltenders.

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The New Jersey Devils opposed the Arizona Coyotes in a game where the Devils ended up losing by a score of 5 - 3. For this game, New Jersey earned a 53.4% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 31 while the opposition earned a Corsi of 27. Their Fenwick rate came in at 51.2% by earning a Fenwick of 21 and the Coyotes earning a 20 Fenwick. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that New Jersey played and it tells us they had an average game overall. Their PDO was 82.5 and they earned an oZS percentage of 54.4%. The Devils notched 3 goals out of the 35 shots on goal they pursued. They had 5 power play opportunities in this outing and netted 1 out of those chances. Regarding the opposition, the Coyotes had 3 power play attempts but were not able to notch a goal. New Jersey conceded 17 shots on goal and the Coyotes racked up 10 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-130)

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