Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens NHL Tips 10/15/2019

Tuesday, October 15, 2019

Bell Centre

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

Bell Centre is the site where Tomas Tatar and the Montreal Canadiens (2-1-2, 5th in the Atlantic Division) will play the Tampa Bay Lightning (2-2-1, 6th in the Atlantic Division) on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Lightning coming in at -135 and the Canadiens are at +122. The O/U opens at 6.5. The Lightning cover 40.0% of the time, having gone 2-3 SU. Montreal covers 25.0% of the time, going 1-3 straight up.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to clean up some issues after taking a 4 - 2 loss to the Ottawa Senators in their last contest. The Lightning left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in the loss. In this game, they scored on 2 out of the 21 shots they tried. Additionally, they had 4 power play chances but weren't able to net one. Tampa Bay had a total of 18 penalty mins for this matchup. The Corsi for the Lightning was 37 and the Corsi against was 41 which means they earned a Corsi percentage of 47.4%. Their Fenwick sat at 22 and the Fenwick against sat at 32, telling us they have a Fenwick percentage of 40.7%. They won 22 face-off wins at even strength and lost 13 of the face-offs. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 51.0% and they had a PDO at even strength of 93.5 in this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Ottawa Senators tallied 34 shots. They ended the game with 18 penalty mins and they earned 4 power play opportunities.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning have 5 total points this season, which ranks them 16th in the NHL. They are 8th in the league in goals scored with 20 while they've given up 17 goals, ranking them 13th overall. They have had 15 power play opportunities and have scored 4 goals on those chances for a percentage of 27%. That is 10th in the NHL. The Lightning have allowed 18 power play opportunities and have given up 5 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 72%, putting them 24th in the league when short-handed. They average 26 shots per game and as a team shoot 15.15% for the season. They allow 34 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 90%. That puts them 15th in the league in stopping the puck.

The Montreal Canadiens played the St. Louis Blues in a matchup where the Canadiens took home the win by a final score of 6 - 3. For this game, Montreal had a 59.5% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 47 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 32. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 57.4% by notching a Fenwick of 35 and the Blues having earned a 26 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Montreal played and we'd say they played well overall. Their PDO at even strength was 112.0 and their percentage of oZS was 58.1%. The Canadiens netted 6 goals of the 38 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 power play attempts in this one but didn't score a goal. Concerning their opponent, the Blues had 2 power play attempts and came through by scoring 1 goal on that attempt. Montreal gave way to 29 shots on goal and the Blues earned 8 penalty minutes.

Useful Team Statistics

The Canadiens are 14th in the NHL with a total of 6 points this year. They have 4 power play goals on 16 opportunities for a percentage of 25%. That ranks them 12th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 17 power play opportunities and have given up 6 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 65%. That is 28th in the NHL. As a team, the Canadiens are 9th in the league with 20 goals scored while they've given up 20 goals, which is 8th overall. They average 36 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 11.24%. As a team they give up 36 shots per game and have a save percentage of 89%. That is 21st in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Tampa Bay is 27th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 45.7%, as they've attempted 172 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 204 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 44.2% as they have 119 attempts while they have given up 150 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 30th in the league. The Lightning start possessions in the offensive zone 45.1% of the time, which is 24th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 54.9% for the season. That is 8th overall in the NHL. They have 116 face-off wins compared to 108 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.8%. That ranks them 12th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 76 hits and they have blocked 54 shots from the opposition, putting them 11th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Canadiens are 17th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50.2% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49.8% for the season, which is 15th in the NHL. They have 108 face-off wins compared to 123 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 46.8%. That is 24th in the league. On defense Montreal has 101 hits and they have blocked 52 shots from the opposition, which is 15th in the league. Montreal is 14th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.1% as they've attempted 225 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 215 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50% ranks 14th as they have 163 attempts while they have given up 163 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Lightning/Canadiens NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Montreal

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