Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers NHL Point Spread Picks 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

BB&T Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to BB&T Center to play the Florida Panthers on Saturday, October 5, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Lightning at +104 and the Panthers at -115.

Tampa Bay had a record of 62-16-4 last season and on the road they had a record of 30-9-2-0. They finished 1st in the Atlantic Division. They scored 319 goals and gave up 221 goals for a point differential of +98. For the season they had an ATS record of 55-20 and an over/under record of 44-35-3. Florida finished with a record of 36-32-14 including 14-11-3-1 at home last season. They were 5th in the Atlantic Division. They scored 264 goals and surrendered 273 for a goal differential of -9. Their record against the spread was 33-45 while their over/under record was 47-28-7.

Valuable Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning were 55-20 straight up last year

The Tampa Bay Lightning were 44-35-3 against the over/under last season

Important Florida Panthers Betting Trends

The Florida Panthers were 33-45 straight up last year

The Florida Panthers were 47-28-7 against the over/under last season

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

10/03/19 C Tyler Johnson Undisclosed is probable Thursday vs Florida
10/01/19 D Victor Hedman Undisclosed is probable Thursday vs Florida
09/30/19 C Brayden Point Hip IR Late Oct

Key Florida Panthers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Andrei Vasilevskiy had 39 wins and 10 losses last season in net for the Lightning. He had 1,713 shots against him and he gave up 128 goals. He made 1,585 saves for a save percentage of 93%. Ondrej Palat accumulated 34 total points last season for the Lightning. He had 8 goals last year with 100 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 8%. He had a total of 26 assists on the season and averaged 14.9 minutes played per game. Nikita Kucherov averaged 20 minutes of ice time per game last year. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 17% by scoring 41 goals on 246 shots. He had 87 assists giving him a total of 128 points on the season.

Player Spotlight

Evgenii Dadonov scored 70 total points last year for the Panthers. He had 28 goals last season with 195 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He had a total of 42 assists on the season and averaged 18.4 minutes played per game. Sergei Bobrovsky had 37 wins and 24 losses last year in goal for the Panthers. He had 1,756 shots against him and he surrendered 153 goals. He made 1,603 saves for a save percentage of 91%. Aleksander Barkov averaged 22.4 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 17% by scoring 35 goals on 206 shots. He had 61 assists giving him a total of 96 points on the season.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning allowed 267 power play opportunities and gave up 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 85% last year. That was 1st in the NHL. They averaged 32 shots per game and as a team shot 12.18% for the season. They allowed 32 shots to their opposition per contest and had a team save percentage of 92%, which was ranked 3rd in the league. The Lightning had 128 total points last season, ranking 1st in the NHL in offense. They were 1st in the league with 319 goals while giving up 221 goals, which was 24th overall. They had 262 power play opportunities and scored 74 goals on those chances for a percentage of 28%. That was 1st in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Panthers were 9th with 264 goals scored while they were 4th in the NHL with 273 goals allowed last year. They averaged 33 shots per contest and had a team shooting percentage of 9.76%. They gave up 31 shots per game and had a save percentage of 89%, putting them in 30th place in the league. The Panthers had a total of 86 points last year, which was 18th in the NHL. They had 72 power play goals on 269 opportunities for a percentage of 27%. That ranked their power play unit 2nd. They allowed 230 power play opportunities and gave up 43 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, which was 10th overall.

Advanced Statistics

Tampa Bay is 12th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.3%, as they've attempted 4,716 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,666 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.4% as they have 3,604 attempts while they have given up 3,541 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 13th in the league. The Lightning start possessions in the offensive zone 50% of the time, which is 19th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 50% for the season. That is 13th overall in the NHL. They have 2,520 face-off wins compared to 2,401 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.2%. That ranks them 8th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 2,116 hits and they have blocked 1,125 shots from the opposition, putting them 20th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Panthers are 9th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 52.2% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 47.8% for the season, which is 23rd in the NHL. They have 2,527 face-off wins compared to 2,545 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49.8%. That is 17th in the league. On defense Florida has 1,901 hits and they have blocked 1,138 shots from the opposition, which is 18th in the league. Florida is 11th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.6% as they've attempted 4,741 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,635 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 51.1% ranks 10th as they have 3,658 attempts while they have given up 3,497 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Lightning/Panthers NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Florida -115

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