Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 11/21/2019

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks

Date: Thursday, November 21, 2019

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: NSCH/SunS

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+109) Blackhawks (-120)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

United Center is the site where Robin Lehner and the Chicago Blackhawks (9-8-4, 5th in the Central Division) will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (9-7-2, 6th in the Atlantic Division) on Thursday. The odds on this contest have the Lightning priced at +109 and the Blackhawks are at -120. The over/under opens at 6.5. The Lightning are covering 47.1% of the time, having gone 8-9 SU. Chicago is covering 42.9% of the time, going 9-12 straight up.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this matchup holding a record of 9 victories and 7 losses, ranking them 6th in the Atlantic Division. During the year thus far, they have racked up a total of 64 goals which ranks 8th in the Eastern Conference and 14th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +2, ranking them 16th in the NHL. The Lightning currently have a total of 20 pts, which ranks 24th in the NHL and 11th in the East. With regard to shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 573 which ranks 14th in the conference and 29th in the NHL. As a unit, Tampa Bay has compiled a total of 331 hits which means they are averaging 18.4 per contest. They currently have a total of 165 blocks for this year. Protecting the goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy from London, Ontario. He is 25 years old and has totaled 774 mins protecting the net this season. Vasilevskiy is conceding 2.95 goals per game which has him placed 13th among East goaltenders and 28th in the NHL. So far this season, he's surrendered 38 goals. He's earned a save % of .904 which has him placed 16th among East goaltenders.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the losing side of the ice with a 3 - 1 loss to the St. Louis Blues their last time out. The Lightning had a below average offensive outing in this defeat. For this game, they netted 1 out of the 18 shots they attempted. Moreover, they had 2 power play opportunities but didn't net one. Tampa Bay had a total of 10 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Lightning sat at 38 and the Corsi against at even strength was 46 giving them a Corsi percentage of 45.2%. Their Fenwick sat at 26 and the Fenwick against was 35, which earned them a Fenwick percentage of 42.6%. They earned 25 face-off wins and lost 31 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 49.1% and they had a PDO of 94.7 in this one. When it comes to their opponent, the St. Louis Blues earned a total of 34 shots. They finished with 6 minutes in the box and they earned a total of 4 power play attempts.

The Blackhawks are the team on the other side of the ice and for the season they sit with 9 victories and 8 defeats. When talking about goal differential, they currently sit 9th in the conference and 17th in the league with +2. They currently have a total of 63 goals for the year which is 7th in the West. Chicago has a save percentage as a team of .921 which has them sitting 5th in the league, meaning scoring opportunities may be scarce. They have a team shooting percentage of 10.0% which puts them at 5th in the Western Conference. In goal for is Robin Lehner who is having an ok season by surrendering 2.52 GAA and that has him 8th among West goalies and 11th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 668 minutes he has played this season, he's given up 28 goals. His save percentage is .934, which has him sitting 2nd among West goalies and 3rd in the NHL among goaltenders.

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The Chicago Blackhawks opposed the Carolina Hurricanes in a game where the Blackhawks ended up losing by a score of 4 - 2. While out there on the ice, Chicago went home with a 46.7% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 35 and their opponent having a Corsi of 40. Their Fenwick rate came in at 46.5% by notching a Fenwick of 20 and the Hurricanes ending the game with a 23 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Chicago played and it tells us that they didn't have their best game. They had a PDO at even strength of 91.4 and they earned an oZS percentage of 54.3%. The Blackhawks converted 2 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play opportunities in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. In discussing the opposition, the Hurricanes had 1 power play attempt but weren't able to take advantage of it. Chicago gave way to 33 shots on goal and the Hurricanes racked up a total of 6 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+109)

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