Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes NHL Picks & Predictions 10/6/2019

Sunday, October 6, 2019

PNC Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to PNC Arena to play the Carolina Hurricanes on Sunday, October 6, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Lightning at -118 and the Hurricanes at -106. The Lightning won their opener over Florida by a score of 5-2 while Carolina won 4-3 against Montreal.

Tampa Bay had a record of 62-16-4 last season and on the road they had a record of 30-9-2-0. They finished 1st in the Atlantic Division. They scored 319 goals and gave up 221 goals for a point differential of +98. For the season they had an ATS record of 55-20 and an over/under record of 44-35-3. Carolina finished with a record of 46-29-7 including 13-13-2-1 at home last season. They were 4th in the Metropolitan Division. They scored 243 goals and surrendered 221 for a goal differential of +22. Their record against the spread was 43-36 while their over/under record was 34-46-2.

Valuable Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning were 55-20 straight up last year

The Tampa Bay Lightning were 44-35-3 against the over/under last season

Important Carolina Hurricanes Betting Trends

The Carolina Hurricanes were 43-36 straight up last year

The Carolina Hurricanes were 34-46-2 against the over/under last season

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

09/30/19 C Brayden Point Hip is out indefinitely

Key Carolina Hurricanes Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Ondrej Palat accumulated 34 total points last season for the Lightning. He had 8 goals last year with 100 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 8%. He had a total of 26 assists on the season and averaged 14.9 minutes played per game. Nikita Kucherov averaged 20 minutes of ice time per game last year. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 17% by scoring 41 goals on 246 shots. He had 87 assists giving him a total of 128 points on the season. Andrei Vasilevskiy had 39 wins and 10 losses last season in net for the Lightning. He had 1,713 shots against him and he gave up 128 goals. He made 1,585 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Player Spotlight

Andrei Svechnikov scored 37 total points last year for the Hurricanes. He had 20 goals last season with 189 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He had a total of 17 assists on the season and averaged 14.6 minutes played per game. Sebastian Aho averaged 20.1 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 12% by scoring 30 goals on 243 shots. He had 53 assists giving him a total of 83 points on the season. Petr Mrazek had 23 wins and 14 losses last year in goal for the Hurricanes. He had 1,104 shots against him and he surrendered 95 goals. He made 1,009 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning had 128 total points last season, which ranked them 1st in the NHL. They were 1st in the league in goals scored with 319 while they gave up 221 goals, ranking them 24th overall. They had 262 power play opportunities and scored 74 goals on those chances for a percentage of 28%. That was 1st in the NHL. The Lightning allowed 267 power play opportunities and gave up 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 85%, putting them 1st in the league when short-handed. They averaged 32 shots per game and as a team shot 12.18% for the season. They allowed 32 shots to their opposition per contest and had a team save percentage of 92%. That put them 3rd in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Hurricanes were 10th in the NHL with a total of 99 points last year. They had 44 power play goals on 247 opportunities for a percentage of 18%. That ranked them 20th in the league as a power play unit. They allowed 239 power play opportunities and gave up 44 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%. That was 8th in the NHL. As a team, the Hurricanes were 16th in the league with 243 goals scored while they gave up 221 goals, which was 25th overall. They averaged 34 shots per contest and had a team shooting percentage of 8.61%. As a team they gave up 29 shots per game and had a save percentage of 91%. That was 13th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Tampa Bay is 12th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.3%, as they've attempted 4,716 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,666 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.4% as they have 3,604 attempts while they have given up 3,541 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 13th in the league. The Lightning start possessions in the offensive zone 50% of the time, which is 19th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 50% for the season. That is 13th overall in the NHL. They have 2,520 face-off wins compared to 2,401 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.2%. That ranks them 8th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 2,116 hits and they have blocked 1,125 shots from the opposition, putting them 20th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Hurricanes are 2nd in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 54.3% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 45.7% for the season, which is 30th in the NHL. They have 2,436 face-off wins compared to 2,532 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49%. That is 24th in the league. On defense Carolina has 2,073 hits and they have blocked 1,044 shots from the opposition, which is 29th in the league. Carolina is 1st in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 54.9% as they've attempted 5,296 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,355 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 54.9% ranks 1st as they have 4,036 attempts while they have given up 3,311 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Lightning/Hurricanes NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Carolina -106

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