Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Point Spread Picks 3/11/2019

Monday, March 11, 2019

Scotiabank Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to Scotiabank Arena to play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday, March 11, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Lightning at -110 and the Maple Leafs at -110.

Tampa Bay has a record of 52-13-4 this season. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 260 goals and given up 180 goals for a point differential of +80. For the season they have an ATS record of 52-17-0 and an over/under record of 34-32-0. Toronto has a record of 42-21-5 this year. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 244 goals and surrendered 193 for a goal differential of +51. Their record against the spread is 42-26-0 while their over/under record is 33-31-0.

Valuable Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 52-17-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 34-32-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 42-26-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 33-31-0 against the over/under this season

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

03/09/19 LW Adam Erne Lower Body is questionable Monday vs Toronto
03/09/19 D Anton Stralman Lower Body is questionable Monday vs Toronto
03/09/19 D Dan Girardi Lower Body is questionable Monday vs Toronto

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

03/09/19 C Nazem Kadri Concussion is questionable Monday vs Tampa Bay
02/28/19 D Jake Gardiner Back is out indefinitely
02/28/19 D Travis Dermott Upper Body is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Andrei Vasilevskiy has 31 wins and 8 losses this season in net for the Lightning. He has 1,405 shots against him and he's given up 97 goals. He's made 1,308 saves for a save percentage of 93%. Nikita Kucherov has accumulated 110 total points this season for the Lightning. He has 33 goals this year with 206 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 77 assists on the season and averages 19.7 minutes played per game. Brayden Point averages 18.8 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 22% by scoring 37 goals on 167 shots. He has 45 assists, giving him a total of 82 points on the season.

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner has scored 82 total points this year for the Maple Leafs. He has 24 goals this season with 196 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 58 assists on the season and averages 19.6 minutes played per game. Frederik Andersen has 33 wins and 13 losses this year in goal for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,663 shots against him and he's surrendered 127 goals. He's made 1,536 saves for a save percentage of 92%. Morgan Rielly averages 22.8 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 18 goals on 180 shots. He has 47 assists, giving him a total of 65 points on the season.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning have allowed 227 power play opportunities and have given up 33 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 85% this year. That is 1st in the NHL. They average 32 shots per game and as a team shoot 11.71% for the season. They allow 32 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 92%, which is ranked 3rd in the league. The Lightning have 108 total points this season, ranking 1st in the NHL in offense. They are 1st in the league with 260 goals while they've given up 180 goals, which is 28th overall. They have had 227 power play opportunities and scored 65 goals on those chances for a percentage of 29%. That is 1st in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Maple Leafs are 3rd with 244 goals scored while they are 21st in the NHL with 193 goals allowed this year. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 11.11%. They give up 33 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%, putting them in 5th place in the league. The Maple Leafs have a total of 89 points this year, which is 4th in the NHL. They have 40 power play goals on 174 opportunities for a percentage of 23%. That ranks their power play unit 7th. They've allowed 175 power play opportunities and have given up 35 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%, which is 18th overall.

Advanced Statistics

Tampa Bay is 12th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.6%, as they've attempted 4,013 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,920 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.8% as they have 3,060 attempts while they have given up 2,961 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 12th in the league. The Lightning start possessions in the offensive zone 50.3% of the time, which is 19th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.7% for the season. That is 13th overall in the NHL. They have 2,126 face-off wins compared to 2,034 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.1%. That ranks them 10th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 1,746 hits and they have blocked 959 shots from the opposition, putting them 19th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 16th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50.7% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49.3% for the season, which is 14th in the NHL. They have 2,167 face-off wins compared to 1,941 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.8%. That is 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,167 hits and they have blocked 951 shots from the opposition, which is 21st in the league. Toronto is 9th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.1% as they've attempted 4,337 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,150 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.1% ranks 15th as they have 3,212 attempts while they have given up 3,199 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Lightning/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto -110

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